Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 5-2 at Angel Stadium on July 2, 2023, in a game that was effectively decided in the second inning. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving the Angels a 47 percent home win probability, but that figure climbed sharply and never looked back after a pivotal bottom of the second. Mickey Moniak's home run off Zac Gallen in that frame was the single most consequential play of the night, shifting win probability by 21.1 percentage points and giving Los Angeles a lead it would not relinquish. Arizona had briefly answered in the top of the second when Carson Kelly connected on a home run off Reid Detmers for a 7.9-point swing in the Diamondbacks' favor, but Moniak's response erased that momentum entirely. Shohei Ohtani added an insurance run with a solo home run off Kyle Nelson in the bottom of the eighth, a swing worth 6.4 percentage points as the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Angels win approached certainty, finishing at 100 percent.

Moniak finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-19.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.4, his second-inning blast functioning as the decisive blow in a tightly scored contest. On the pitching side, Reid Detmers led all arms with a WPA of plus-16.4, working through an Arizona lineup that managed only five hits and committed no errors. José Soriano contributed plus-7.2 WPA with a strong seventh-inning appearance in which he retired Ketel Marte on a strikeout and Alek Thomas on a forceout, two plays that collectively removed 14.0 percentage points of Arizona's remaining win probability. Jacob Webb also factored positively with plus-8.1 WPA, and Mike Trout ranked second among position players at plus-6.5 WPA, supporting a complete team effort that left the Diamondbacks with little room to mount a comeback.