DiamondIQ · Fantasy · August 31, 2026

Pitcher streaming & start/sit, from metrics we own

Every signal below is computed from our own IQ family — PitchIQ, BatIQ, our park factors, the DiamondIQ win-probability model, the bullpen tracker, and AttentionIQ. No projections bought off a feed, no touting. Each score shows its components so you can decide how much to trust it. We frame everything as edges and leans, never locks — where samples are thin, we say so.

42 scheduled games across the 3-day window · updated Aug 31, 9:43 AM UTC

New

Connect your fantasy league

Link your ESPN league (Yahoo coming soon) to unlock a personalized “My team” view — streaming, start/sit and saves filtered to your roster, and waiver signals limited to players actually available in your league.

✓ ESPN leagues (public) — read-onlyYahoo — coming soon✓ Roster stays private · disconnect any time

Free · takes a minute

a

Streaming pitchers

Probable starters over the next 3 days, ranked by a streaming score we compute from metrics we own. Higher = a more favorable spot; it is a matchup read, not a start command.

MethodStreaming score = 40% PitchIQ (pitcher quality) + 25% opponent ease (100 − opposing lineup's average BatIQ) + 15% park suppression (venue run factor) + 20% our model's team win probability. All components shown; none is a bet.

  1. 1
    Gavin Williams
    CLE vs TOR · Tomorrow · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 81 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 32 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — hitter-friendly·15%55% model win prob·20%
    71
  2. 2
    Jacob Misiorowski
    MIL vs CHC · Sep 2 · Wrigley Field
    PitchIQ 92 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 50 (7 qual. bats)·25%0.93× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%53% model win prob·20%
    70
  3. 3
    Ian Seymour
    TB vs NYM · Today · Tropicana Field
    PitchIQ 67 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 35 (3 qual. bats)·25%1.00× runs — neutral·15%62% model win prob·20%
    67
  4. 4
    Paul Skenes
    PIT vs SF · Tomorrow · PNC Park
    PitchIQ 78 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 41 (3 qual. bats)·25%1.04× runs — hitter-friendly·15%58% model win prob·20%
    66
  5. 5
    Payton Tolle
    BOS vs SEA · Today · Fenway Park
    PitchIQ 75 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (6 qual. bats)·25%1.01× runs — neutral·15%57% model win prob·20%
    65
  6. 6
    Dylan Cease
    TOR vs CLE · Sep 2 · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 85 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 45 (6 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — hitter-friendly·15%49% model win prob·20%
    65
  7. 7
    Kyle Harrison
    MIL vs CHC · Today · Wrigley Field
    PitchIQ 78 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 50 (7 qual. bats)·25%0.93× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%52% model win prob·20%
    64
  8. 8
    Jacob deGrom
    TEX vs ATH · Today · Globe Life Field
    PitchIQ 80 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 57 (3 qual. bats)·25%0.91× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%59% model win prob·20%
    64
  9. 9
    Cam Schlittler
    NYY vs LAA · Sep 2 · Angel Stadium
    PitchIQ 85 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 55 (3 qual. bats)·25%0.98× runs — neutral·15%58% model win prob·20%
    64
  10. 10
    Jared Jones
    PIT vs SF · Sep 2 · PNC Park
    PitchIQ 68 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 41 (3 qual. bats)·25%1.04× runs — hitter-friendly·15%58% model win prob·20%
    62
  11. 11
    Sean Burke
    CWS vs HOU · Tomorrow · Daikin Park
    PitchIQ 68 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (6 qual. bats)·25%1.00× runs — neutral·15%49% model win prob·20%
    61
  12. 12
    Jesús Luzardo
    PHI vs AZ · Tomorrow · Chase Field
    PitchIQ 84 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 56 (6 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%49% model win prob·20%
    60
  13. 13
    Eury Pérez
    MIA vs KC · Sep 2 · Kauffman Stadium
    PitchIQ 70 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 44 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%51% model win prob·20%
    60
  14. 14
    Freddy Peralta
    TB vs NYM · Tomorrow · Tropicana Field
    PitchIQ 48 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 35 (3 qual. bats)·25%1.00× runs — neutral·15%61% model win prob·20%
    59
  15. 15
    Gerrit Cole
    NYY vs LAA · Tomorrow · Angel Stadium
    PitchIQ 71 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 55 (3 qual. bats)·25%0.98× runs — neutral·15%59% model win prob·20%
    59
  16. 16
    Joey Cantillo
    CLE vs TOR · Sep 2 · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 53 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 32 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — hitter-friendly·15%51% model win prob·20%
    59
  17. 17
    Drew Anderson
    DET vs MIN · Sep 2 · Target Field
    PitchIQ 66 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (4 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%48% model win prob·20%
    59
  18. 18
    Yoshinobu Yamamoto
    LAD vs STL · Sep 2 · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
    PitchIQ 75 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 56 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.99× runs — neutral·15%58% model win prob·20%
    59
  19. 19
    Gage Jump
    ATH vs TEX · Today · Globe Life Field
    PitchIQ 54 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 41 (3 qual. bats)·25%0.91× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%41% model win prob·20%
    58
  20. 20
    Bryan Woo
    SEA vs BOS · Tomorrow · Fenway Park
    PitchIQ 67 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 44 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.01× runs — neutral·15%44% model win prob·20%
    58
b

Start/sit signals — hitters

Today's notable hitter matchup edges: strong bats facing a weaker opposing starter, plus park and platoon context. Framed as edges to weigh, never must-starts.

MethodEdges = a team's qualified hitters (by BatIQ) facing an opposing probable starter with a lower PitchIQ, in a hitter-friendly park, with a left/right platoon note where handedness applies. These are directional matchup reads, not start commands.

  1. Yordan AlvarezHOU
    +48edge
    BatIQ 95 vs Anthony Kay (PitchIQ 47, CWS)
  2. Junior CamineroTB
    +45edge
    BatIQ 85 vs Robert Stock (PitchIQ 40, NYM)
  3. Jake BauersMIL
    +39edge
    BatIQ 83 vs Clay Holmes (PitchIQ 44, CHC)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge
  4. James WoodWSH
    +38edge
    BatIQ 85 vs Ryan Gusto (PitchIQ 47, MIA)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge
  5. Yandy DíazTB
    +37edge
    BatIQ 77 vs Robert Stock (PitchIQ 40, NYM)
  6. Mike TroutLAA
    +37edge
    BatIQ 78 vs Elmer Rodríguez (PitchIQ 41, NYY)
  7. Miguel VargasCWS
    +34edge
    BatIQ 89 vs Peter Lambert (PitchIQ 55, HOU)
  8. Pete AlonsoBAL
    +32edge
    BatIQ 80 vs Tanner Gordon (PitchIQ 48, COL)
    ⌂ Coors Field plays hitter-friendly (1.15× runs)
  9. Fernando Tatis Jr.SD
    +31edge
    BatIQ 71 vs Brady Singer (PitchIQ 40, CIN)
  10. Drake BaldwinATL
    +30edge
    BatIQ 74 vs Anthony Molina (PitchIQ 44, SF)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge
  11. Gabriel MorenoAZ
    +29edge
    BatIQ 85 vs Aaron Nola (PitchIQ 56, PHI)
  12. Matt OlsonATL
    +26edge
    BatIQ 70 vs Anthony Molina (PitchIQ 44, SF)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge
c

Saves watch

Tonight's save landscape for saves chasers: each team's closer, how fresh they are, and our model's win probability (a save needs a lead).

MethodEach team's save chances tonight: its closer (most season saves on the active roster), a Fresh/Used/Heavy/Unavailable flag from last-3-games usage, and our model's win probability (a closer needs a lead to save). Availability is descriptive, not a projection.

  1. BOSAroldis ChapmanFresh
    vs SEA · Favored — a lead gives a probable save chance
    57%
    win prob
  2. NYYDavid BednarFresh
    vs LAA · Favored — a lead gives a probable save chance
    57%
    win prob
  3. MINYoendrys GómezFresh
    vs DET · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    54%
    win prob
  4. MILTrevor MegillFresh
    vs CHC · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    52%
    win prob
  5. AZBrandyn GarciaFresh
    vs PHI · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    51%
    win prob
  6. CWSGrant TaylorFresh
    vs HOU · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    48%
    win prob
  7. DETKenley JansenFresh
    vs MIN · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    46%
    win prob
  8. COLJordan RomanoFresh
    vs BAL · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    46%
    win prob
  9. SEAAndrés MuñozFresh
    vs BOS · Underdog tonight — fewer save chances
    43%
    win prob
  10. ATHHogan HarrisFresh
    vs TEX · Underdog tonight — fewer save chances
    41%
    win prob
  11. TEXJacob LatzUsed
    vs ATH · Favored — a lead gives a probable save chance
    59%
    win prob
  12. WSHClayton BeeterUsed
    vs MIA · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    52%
    win prob
  13. SDMason MillerUsed
    vs CIN · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    51%
    win prob
  14. MIAVictor VodnikUsed
    vs WSH · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    48%
    win prob
  15. CHCJacob WebbUsed
    vs MIL · Roughly a coin flip — save chance if they lead late
    48%
    win prob
  16. SFDylan SmithUsed
    vs ATL · Underdog tonight — fewer save chances
    38%
    win prob
  17. ATLRaisel IglesiasHeavy
    vs SF · Favored, but closer is heavily used — save at risk
    62%
    win prob
  18. TBBryan BakerHeavy
    vs NYM · Favored, but closer is heavily used — save at risk
    62%
    win prob
  19. BALAndrew KittredgeHeavy
    vs COL · Favored, but closer is heavily used — save at risk
    54%
    win prob
  20. HOUJosh HaderHeavy
    vs CWS · Favored, but closer is heavily used — save at risk
    52%
    win prob
  21. CINEmilio PagánHeavy
    vs SD · Heavily used and an underdog tonight
    49%
    win prob
  22. PHIJhoan DuranHeavy
    vs AZ · Heavily used and an underdog tonight
    49%
    win prob
  23. LAABen JoyceHeavy
    vs NYY · Heavily used and an underdog tonight
    43%
    win prob
  24. NYMKodai SengaHeavy
    vs TB · Heavily used and an underdog tonight
    38%
    win prob
d

Waiver signals

Players the crowd is starting to notice (rising Wikipedia attention) crossed with whether their underlying IQ backs it up. Early-sample standouts are labeled as such.

MethodAttentionIQ risers (30-day Wikipedia-pageview trend) crossed with season BatIQ/PitchIQ. Rising attention says the crowd is noticing someone; the IQ says whether the underlying quality backs it up. Thin samples are flagged early-sample.

  1. Brett Batemanhitter
    +131049%attention
    Early-sample standout — 57 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 57early sample
  2. Joshua Báezhitter
    +13897%attention
    Early-sample standout — 27 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 27early sample
  3. Charles McAdoohitter
    +3361%attention
    Early-sample standout — 22 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 22early sample
  4. George Lombard Jr.hitter
    +2282%attention
    Early-sample standout — 26 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 26early sample
  5. Jefry Yanpitcher
    +2173%attention
    Early-sample standout — 49 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household namePitchIQ 49early sample
  6. Mickey Gasperhitter
    +1539%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household nameBatIQ 83
  7. Kaelen Culpepperhitter
    +1487%attention
    Early-sample standout — 59 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household nameBatIQ 59early sample
  8. Spencer Arrighettipitcher
    +1443%attention
    Attention is rising faster than the underlying quality — likely name-driven
    AttentionIQ 97 · Household namePitchIQ 39
  9. José Sorianopitcher
    +1317%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household namePitchIQ 64
  10. Luis García Jr.hitter
    +1200%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 71

These are decision-support signals, not advice or projections, and definitely not betting guidance. Availability flags describe recent usage; win probabilities come from our model; IQ metrics are season-to-date. Connect a league to filter these to your own team.

DiamondIQ · Newsletter

Get the numbers in your inbox

Double opt-in. Unsubscribe any time. We never share your email.