DiamondIQ · Fantasy · July 16, 2026

Pitcher streaming & start/sit, from metrics we own

Every signal below is computed from our own IQ family — PitchIQ, BatIQ, our park factors, the DiamondIQ win-probability model, the bullpen tracker, and AttentionIQ. No projections bought off a feed, no touting. Each score shows its components so you can decide how much to trust it. We frame everything as edges and leans, never locks — where samples are thin, we say so.

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31 scheduled games across the 3-day window · updated Jul 16, 5:15 AM UTC

a

Streaming pitchers

Probable starters over the next 3 days, ranked by a streaming score we compute from metrics we own. Higher = a more favorable spot; it is a matchup read, not a start command.

MethodStreaming score = 40% PitchIQ (pitcher quality) + 25% opponent ease (100 − opposing lineup's average BatIQ) + 15% park suppression (venue run factor) + 20% our model's team win probability. All components shown; none is a bet.

  1. 1
    Jesús Luzardo
    PHI vs NYM · Jul 18 · Citizens Bank Park
    PitchIQ 80 · Elite·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.06× runs — hitter-friendly·15%62% model win prob·20%
    66
  2. 2
    Tarik Skubal
    DET vs LAA · Jul 18 · Angel Stadium
    PitchIQ 80 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 43 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.99× runs — neutral·15%51% model win prob·20%
    66
  3. 3
    Chris Sale
    ATL vs TEX · Tomorrow · Truist Park
    PitchIQ 77 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (4 qual. bats)·25%0.97× runs — neutral·15%56% model win prob·20%
    64
  4. 4
    Griffin Jax
    TB vs BOS · Tomorrow · Fenway Park
    PitchIQ 69 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.00× runs — neutral·15%53% model win prob·20%
    62
  5. 5
    Davis Martin
    CWS vs TOR · Jul 18 · Rogers Centre
    PitchIQ 59 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 35 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — neutral·15%52% model win prob·20%
    61
  6. 6
    Braxton Ashcraft
    PIT vs CLE · Jul 18 · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 76 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%48% model win prob·20%
    60
  7. 7
    Troy Melton
    DET vs LAA · Tomorrow · Angel Stadium
    PitchIQ 63 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 43 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.99× runs — neutral·15%51% model win prob·20%
    59
  8. 8
    Matthew Boyd
    CHC vs MIN · Jul 18 · Wrigley Field
    PitchIQ 58 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 46 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.94× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%56% model win prob·20%
    59
  9. 9
    Jared Jones
    PIT vs CLE · Tomorrow · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 69 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%47% model win prob·20%
    57
  10. 10
    Aaron Nola
    PHI vs NYM · Today · Citizens Bank Park
    PitchIQ 53 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 42 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.06× runs — hitter-friendly·15%60% model win prob·20%
    55
  11. 11
    Gavin Williams
    CLE vs PIT · Tomorrow · Progressive Field
    PitchIQ 76 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 61 (4 qual. bats)·25%1.02× runs — neutral·15%53% model win prob·20%
    55
  12. 12
    Michael King
    SD vs KC · Tomorrow · Kauffman Stadium
    PitchIQ 48 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 40 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.01× runs — neutral·15%54% model win prob·20%
    55
  13. 13
    Landen Roupp
    SF vs SEA · Tomorrow · T-Mobile Park
    PitchIQ 54 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.89× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%44% model win prob·20%
    55
  14. 14
    Owen Murphy
    ATL vs TEX · Jul 18 · Truist Park
    PitchIQ 54 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (4 qual. bats)·25%0.97× runs — neutral·15%56% model win prob·20%
    early sample55
  15. 15
    Anthony Kay
    CWS vs TOR · Tomorrow · Rogers Centre
    PitchIQ 41 · Below average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 35 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — neutral·15%50% model win prob·20%
    53
  16. 16
    Logan Webb
    SF vs SEA · Jul 18 · T-Mobile Park
    PitchIQ 47 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 48 (5 qual. bats)·25%0.89× runs — pitcher-friendly·15%44% model win prob·20%
    53
  17. 17
    Christian Scott
    NYM vs PHI · Today · Citizens Bank Park
    PitchIQ 61 · Above average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 47 (6 qual. bats)·25%1.06× runs — hitter-friendly·15%40% model win prob·20%
    52
  18. 18
    Griffin Canning
    SD vs KC · Jul 18 · Kauffman Stadium
    PitchIQ 41 · Below average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 40 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.01× runs — neutral·15%53% model win prob·20%
    52
  19. 19
    Seth Lugo
    KC vs SD · Tomorrow · Kauffman Stadium
    PitchIQ 37 · Below average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 36 (5 qual. bats)·25%1.01× runs — neutral·15%46% model win prob·20%
    51
  20. 20
    Spencer Miles
    TOR vs CWS · Tomorrow · Rogers Centre
    PitchIQ 58 · League average·40%Opp lineup BatIQ 56 (4 qual. bats)·25%1.03× runs — neutral·15%50% model win prob·20%
    49
b

Start/sit signals — hitters

Today's notable hitter matchup edges: strong bats facing a weaker opposing starter, plus park and platoon context. Framed as edges to weigh, never must-starts.

MethodEdges = a team's qualified hitters (by BatIQ) facing an opposing probable starter with a lower PitchIQ, in a hitter-friendly park, with a left/right platoon note where handedness applies. These are directional matchup reads, not start commands.

  1. Juan SotoNYM
    +40edge
    BatIQ 93 vs Aaron Nola (PitchIQ 53, PHI)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge⌂ Citizens Bank Park plays hitter-friendly (1.06× runs)
  2. Bryce HarperPHI
    +22edge
    BatIQ 83 vs Christian Scott (PitchIQ 61, NYM)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge⌂ Citizens Bank Park plays hitter-friendly (1.06× runs)
  3. Kyle SchwarberPHI
    +11edge
    BatIQ 72 vs Christian Scott (PitchIQ 61, NYM)
    ↔ LHB vs RHP — platoon edge⌂ Citizens Bank Park plays hitter-friendly (1.06× runs)
c

Saves watch

Tonight's save landscape for saves chasers: each team's closer, how fresh they are, and our model's win probability (a save needs a lead).

MethodEach team's save chances tonight: its closer (most season saves on the active roster), a Fresh/Used/Heavy/Unavailable flag from last-3-games usage, and our model's win probability (a closer needs a lead to save). Availability is descriptive, not a projection.

  1. PHIJhoan DuranFresh
    vs NYM · Favored — a lead gives a probable save chance
    60%
    win prob
  2. NYMDevin WilliamsUsed
    vs PHI · Underdog tonight — fewer save chances
    40%
    win prob
d

Waiver signals

Players the crowd is starting to notice (rising Wikipedia attention) crossed with whether their underlying IQ backs it up. Early-sample standouts are labeled as such.

MethodAttentionIQ risers (30-day Wikipedia-pageview trend) crossed with season BatIQ/PitchIQ. Rising attention says the crowd is noticing someone; the IQ says whether the underlying quality backs it up. Thin samples are flagged early-sample.

  1. Cade Cavallipitcher
    +1639%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household namePitchIQ 68
  2. Joey Barthitter
    +366%attention
    Early-sample standout — 21 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 97 · Household nameBatIQ 21early sample
  3. Derek Hillhitter
    +317%attention
    Attention is rising faster than the underlying quality — likely name-driven
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 35
  4. Anthony Seiglerhitter
    +316%attention
    Early-sample standout — 52 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household nameBatIQ 52early sample
  5. Sonny Graypitcher
    +278%attention
    Rising attention on a roughly league-average profile — watch, don't chase
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household namePitchIQ 59
  6. Junior Caminerohitter
    +268%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household nameBatIQ 84
  7. Michael Harris IIhitter
    +193%attention
    Rising attention on a roughly league-average profile — watch, don't chase
    AttentionIQ 98 · Household nameBatIQ 56
  8. Justin Verlanderpitcher
    +157%attention
    Early-sample standout — 44 in a thin sample; attention is ahead of the track record
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household namePitchIQ 44early sample
  9. Trey Gibsonpitcher
    +150%attention
    Attention is rising faster than the underlying quality — likely name-driven
    AttentionIQ 97 · Household namePitchIQ 33
  10. Willson Contrerashitter
    +138%attention
    The crowd is noticing — and the underlying IQ backs it up
    AttentionIQ 99 · Household nameBatIQ 78

These are decision-support signals, not advice or projections, and definitely not betting guidance. Availability flags describe recent usage; win probabilities come from our model; IQ metrics are season-to-date. Connect a league to filter these to your own team.

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