MLB Recap · August 25, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

LAD3
Final
ATL4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD0201000003100
ATL30000001-490

The Story

The Atlanta Braves held off the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 at Truist Park on August 25, 2026, in a game that entered its final inning with significant tension before Atlanta ultimately secured the win. The Braves struck first and hardest, plating three runs in the bottom of the first inning to establish early control, while the Dodgers answered with two in the second and one in the fourth to keep pace. Atlanta's insurance run came in the bottom of the eighth, and that margin proved decisive. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 52 percent pre-game home win probability, and by game's end that figure had climbed to 100 percent.

The most consequential sequence of the night unfolded in the top of the ninth inning. With the Dodgers trailing by one, Shohei Ohtani laced a triple off Raisel Iglesias that shifted win probability by plus 30.7 percent, suddenly placing Los Angeles in a position to tie or take the lead. Iglesias responded by retiring Mookie Betts on a groundout, a play that swung win probability 20.4 percent back toward Atlanta, followed by a Tommy Edman flyout at minus 15.2 percent and a Freddie Freeman strikeout at minus 12.7 percent. All three outs came at Iglesias's hand, and the threat Ohtani had created evaporated entirely. Earlier, in the bottom of the eighth, Ozzie Albies had delivered a single off Tanner Scott that moved win probability plus 18.1 percent, providing Atlanta the run that ultimately stood as the difference.

Among the individual performers, Albies finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus 21.2 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.9, while Ohtani posted plus 17.4 percent WPA despite his team's defeat. Alex Call contributed plus 14.6 percent WPA for Atlanta. On the mound, Iglesias led all pitchers at plus 15.2 percent WPA with his dominant ninth-inning work, supported by Bryce Elder at plus 11.1 percent and Dylan Dodd at plus 9.6 percent. The DiamondIQ model leans toward the Braves' bullpen construction as the decisive structural advantage on the night.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalATL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 51.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Shohei Ohtani — Triple
Top 9th · off Raisel Iglesias
+30.7%
Mookie Betts — Groundout
Top 9th · off Raisel Iglesias
-20.4%
Ozzie Albies — Single
Bot 8th · off Tanner Scott
+18.1%
Tommy Edman — Flyout
Top 9th · off Raisel Iglesias
-15.2%
Freddie Freeman — Strikeout
Top 9th · off Raisel Iglesias
-12.7%

Top Batters by WPA

Ozzie Albies+21.2%+1.9 RE24
Shohei Ohtani+17.4%-0.3 RE24
Alex Call+14.6%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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