Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox shut out the Toronto Blue Jays 7-0 at Rogers Centre on August 13, 2026, holding Toronto to just two hits while committing no errors of their own. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had the game nearly even entering play, with Toronto carrying a 48% home win probability, but that figure collapsed to 0% by the final out as Boston dominated from start to finish.

The game turned decisively in the top of the eighth inning when Caleb Durbin connected on a home run off Chase Lee, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 20.2 percentage points and effectively ended any remaining Toronto hope. Boston had already built a 3-0 advantage through the first seven innings on the strength of Payton Tolle's extraordinary outing, with Tolle registering a plus 45.3% WPA while limiting the Blue Jays to two ground-ball double plays that actually worked against Toronto's win probability, including a Brandon Valenzuela grounder in the second that cost the home side 6.0 points and an Ernie Clement grounder in the third worth minus 5.9 points. Max Scherzer contributed plus 16.1% WPA, and a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lineout in the seventh off Tolle further deflated Toronto's dwindling chances.

Durbin finished as the game's top offensive performer with a plus 22.7% WPA and plus 3.9 RE24, while Masataka Yoshida added plus 4.0% WPA and Ceddanne Rafaela contributed plus 2.0% WPA and plus 0.6 RE24. Boston's four-run eighth and two-run ninth underscored the final lopsided margin, and Braydon Fisher rounded out the pitching staff's contributions with a plus 6.6% WPA. Toronto's single error compounded what was an otherwise quiet night offensively for the Blue Jays.