Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| MIA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 8 | 0 |
The Story
The Miami Marlins defeated the Seattle Mariners 2-0 on July 8, 2026, at loanDepot park, holding Seattle scoreless across all nine innings while collecting eight hits to Seattle's five. The DiamondIQ model entered the game favoring Miami at 58% and closed at 100%, reflecting a tightly controlled performance by the Marlins that never allowed the Mariners a genuine foothold.
The scoring unfolded in the second and third innings, both against Mariners starter George Kirby, and the key sequence began with Kyle Stowers delivering a home run in the bottom of the second, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 7.4 percent in Miami's favor. The third inning produced the game's most consequential moment when Xavier Edwards hit a triple off Kirby, adding 11.3 percent to the Marlins' win probability and representing the single largest WPA play of the contest. Javier Sanoja followed with a double that pushed Miami's advantage further by 5.6 percent, though Liam Hicks then grounded into a double play that surrendered 9.1 percent back to Seattle's side, keeping the final margin at two rather than potentially wider.
On the individual ledger, Edwards finished as the top position player by WPA at plus 8.1 percent with a RE24 of plus 0.6, while Josh Naylor contributed plus 7.8 percent WPA despite a modest RE24 of plus 0.1. Sanoja added plus 3.4 percent WPA. Miami's pitching staff was equally decisive: Tyler Phillips led all pitchers with plus 17.4 percent WPA, followed by Cade Gibson at plus 13.6 percent and Michael Petersen at plus 8.1 percent. A Colt Emerson forceout in the top of the fourth, costing Seattle 5.4 percent in win probability off Tyler Phillips, effectively closed out any realistic path to a Mariners comeback.