Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians defeated the Seattle Mariners 6-5 on June 28, 2026, at Progressive Field, completing a comeback that turned what had been a Seattle-controlled game into a Cleveland victory. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened the day favoring Cleveland at 57% and closed at 100% after a decisive eighth inning that rewrote the game entirely.

Seattle carried a multi-run advantage through most of the contest, building a 4-1 lead through seven innings on the strength of 13 hits, but Cleveland's eighth inning unraveled Mariners reliever Josh Simpson in dramatic fashion. Rhys Hoskins delivered the single biggest swing of the game, a double that shifted win probability by plus 39.2 percentage points, turning a deficit into opportunity in one swing. Chase DeLauter followed with a single that added another 25.3 points of win probability, and Cleveland's five-run eighth was complete. Travis Bazzana's pop out in that same frame cost the Guardians 14.5 points of win probability and represented the lone stall in an otherwise relentless rally. Seattle's J.P. Crawford grounded out to open the ninth, a play that shed another 12.7 points of win probability and effectively sealed the outcome for Cade Smith and Cleveland.

Hoskins finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer by a wide margin, posting a plus 40.0% WPA and plus 2.3 RE24. Chase DeLauter contributed plus 18.6% WPA and plus 0.6 RE24, while Steven Kwan added plus 14.7% WPA and plus 1.0 RE24 to round out Cleveland's top performers at the plate. On the mound, Emerson Hancock led all pitchers with plus 20.4% WPA, with Gabe Speier and Cade Smith each contributing plus 6.3% WPA in support. An early Josh Naylor double in the third had added 11.1 points of win probability for Seattle, but it ultimately proved insufficient against a Cleveland lineup that did its most important work in one concentrated burst.