Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles dismantled the Los Angeles Dodgers 12-1 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on June 21, 2026, producing one of the most lopsided results imaginable against a team the DiamondIQ model's estimate had pegged as a 69 percent pregame favorite. Baltimore scored in five of nine innings, collecting 15 hits against a Dodgers staff that could not contain the damage, while Los Angeles managed just 5 hits and crossed the plate only once. The DiamondIQ model's estimate fell from that 69 percent home-win probability all the way to zero percent by game's end, a complete statistical collapse that reflected how thoroughly Baltimore controlled every phase of the contest.

The decisive swing in win probability came from Orioles starter Brandon Young, whose performance was worth a staggering plus-30.4 percent WPA on the pitching side, anchoring the entire effort. On the offensive side, Colton Cowser was the central figure, accounting for plus-19.3 percent WPA and plus-3.0 RE24. His home run off Emmet Sheehan in the top of the third inning shifted win probability by plus-9.0 percent, and he followed that with a single off Jack Dreyer in the top of the fourth worth another plus-10.8 percent, making him the most impactful Baltimore bat by a considerable margin. Blaze Alexander contributed a plus-8.3 percent WPA swing on a pop out in the first inning that erased a Dodger threat, and Taylor Ward added plus-6.5 percent WPA with plus-1.5 RE24. For Los Angeles, the most damaging moments came when their lineup failed to convert, including Andy Pages striking out in the bottom of the second at a cost of minus-12.7 percent and Kyle Tucker grounding into a forceout in the first at minus-8.0 percent, moments that repeatedly stalled any hope of a rally before Baltimore's offense buried the game with a four-run seventh inning.