MLB Recap · May 30, 2026

Miami Marlins at New York Mets: Final Score & Recap

MIA1
Final
NYM6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA000010000161
NYM00030120-6100

The Story

The New York Mets handed the Miami Marlins a 6-1 defeat at Citi Field on May 30, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win moving from 53% before first pitch to 100% by game's end. The contest remained scoreless through three innings before the Mets broke it open in the bottom of the fourth, when Mark Vientos delivered a double off Tyler Phillips that swung win probability by 17.3 percentage points, the single most impactful play of the game. New York added a run in the sixth on a Jared Young home run off Lake Bachar, worth an 8.0-point swing, then tacked on two more in the seventh to put the game firmly out of reach. Miami's lone bright spot came in the top of the fifth, when Liam Hicks singled off Christian Scott for a 7.4-point positive swing, though the Marlins could not convert that opportunity into anything further.

Vientos finished as the top offensive performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a WPA of plus-15.4 and an RE24 of plus-1.0, while Marcus Semien contributed plus-13.0 WPA and the game's best RE24 at plus-1.2. Young rounded out the top three at plus-11.5 WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. On the mound, Christian Scott was the story for New York, generating plus-11.1 WPA in his outing despite surrendering Miami's lone run in the fifth. Cionel Pérez and Huascar Brazobán each added to the bullpen's positive contribution at plus-6.4 and plus-5.0 WPA respectively. The Marlins finished with six hits and an error, while the Mets compiled ten hits without committing one, a clean and efficient performance that reflected the lopsided final margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalNYM win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mark Vientos Double
Bot 4th · off Tyler Phillips
+17.3%
Carson Benge Strikeout
Bot 3rd · off Tyler Phillips
-9.4%
Hayden Senger Fielders Choice Out
Bot 3rd · off Tyler Phillips
-8.3%
Jared Young Home Run
Bot 6th · off Lake Bachar
+8.0%
Liam Hicks Single
Top 5th · off Christian Scott
+7.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Mark Vientos+15.4%+1.0 RE24
Marcus Semien+13.0%+1.2 RE24
Jared Young+11.5%+0.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

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