Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 2 |
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
The Story
The Tampa Bay Rays stunned the Los Angeles Dodgers 9-8 in ten innings at Dodger Stadium on August 24, 2024, erasing what had been a 63 percent pre-game win probability for the home side according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The Rays jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the first inning, but the Dodgers clawed back with three runs in the fourth and three more in the fifth, the latter charge fueled by a Shohei Ohtani home run off Taj Bradley that swung win probability 22.8 percent in Los Angeles's favor and stood as one of the defining moments of regulation. Ohtani finished as the game's top batter by RE24 at plus-2.8, accumulating a 31.1 percent WPA contribution despite his team ultimately falling short.
The decisive late-game sequence belonged entirely to Tampa Bay. With the Rays trailing entering the ninth, Junior Caminero launched a home run off Evan Phillips that delivered the single largest win-probability swing of the night at plus-34.2 percent, knotting the game and shifting momentum entirely. The drama continued into the tenth, where José Caballero followed with another home run, this one off Joe Kelly, adding another 33.7 percent to Tampa Bay's win probability and pushing the Rays ahead 9-8. Caballero led all players with a WPA of plus-55.9 percent, while Caminero finished at plus-39.4 percent. A Yandy Díaz sacrifice fly double play in the eighth had briefly stalled a Rays rally and cost Tampa Bay 23.6 percent in win probability, making the late heroics all the more necessary.
The Dodgers managed one final run in the bottom of the tenth but could not complete the comeback, with Freddie Freeman grounding out against Garrett Cleavinger in a play that added 31.6 percent to Tampa Bay's win probability and effectively sealed the result. On the pitching side, Blake Treinen contributed plus-8.5 percent WPA for Los Angeles and Ryan Brasier added plus-7.3 percent, but neither was enough to overcome the late-inning damage. Michael Kopech, who induced the Díaz sac fly double play in the eighth, finished at minus-3.9 percent WPA. The Rays finished with 15 hits against Los Angeles's 8, and despite committing two errors to the Dodgers' one, Tampa Bay left Dodger Stadium with an improbable road victory.