MLB Recap · June 19, 2024

Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

SEA0
Final
CLE8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SEA000000000030
CLE12003110-890

The Story

The Cleveland Guardians shut out the Seattle Mariners 8-0 on June 19, 2024, at Progressive Field, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 60 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Cleveland built its advantage steadily across the first two innings and then broke the game open in the fifth, leaving Seattle without a run across all nine frames on just three hits.

The decisive sequence began in the bottom of the second, where Steven Kwan delivered a home run off Bryan Woo that shifted win probability by plus 11.9 percent, the single largest swing of the night. Kwan finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus 12.0 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.1. Seattle mounted its only real threat in the top of the fourth, when Josh Rojas doubled off Tanner Bibee for a plus 5.8 percent swing, but the Mariners were unable to convert. Cleveland answered emphatically in the fifth against Mike Baumann, with José Ramírez singling for a plus 6.1 percent move and Josh Naylor following with a home run worth plus 5.8 percent. Naylor led all batters in RE24 at plus 3.7, while Ramírez contributed a plus 6.0 percent WPA mark.

Tanner Bibee was the game's dominant figure, posting a plus 17.4 percent WPA from the pitching side as he held Seattle's offense in check throughout his outing. The Mariners managed only three hits and committed no errors, but they generated nothing of substance against a Cleveland staff that surrendered no walks of consequence and no damage. The DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected the Guardians' command of the game from start to finish.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SEA bats firstFinalCLE win %SEA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 59.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Steven Kwan Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Bryan Woo
+11.9%
José Ramírez Single
Bot 5th · off Mike Baumann
+6.1%
Josh Naylor Home Run
Bot 5th · off Mike Baumann
+5.8%
Josh Rojas Double
Top 4th · off Tanner Bibee
+5.8%
Andrés Giménez Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Bryan Woo
+4.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Steven Kwan+12.0%+2.1 RE24
Josh Naylor+7.2%+3.7 RE24
José Ramírez+6.0%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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