MLB Recap · June 16, 2024

Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

KC0
Final
LAD3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
KC000000000031
LAD00100200-350

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Kansas City Royals 3-0 on June 16, 2024 at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 58% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. The Dodgers scored all three of their runs off Royals starter Brady Singer, getting on the board in the third inning and adding two more in the sixth to put the game firmly out of reach. Kansas City managed just three hits and committed one error, never generating the kind of sustained threat needed to challenge a dominant Dodgers pitching performance.

Shohei Ohtani was the central figure offensively, accounting for the two highest win-probability swings of the game. His solo home run off Singer in the bottom of the third shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate by plus 10.9%, and his second home run off Singer in the sixth added another 11.2%, giving him a combined WPA of plus 22.1% and a RE24 of plus 1.8 on the night. Freddie Freeman followed that sixth-inning blast with a home run of his own off Singer, worth plus 8.0% in win probability and a RE24 of plus 1.1. On the Kansas City side, Kyle Isbel grounded into a double play in the third that cost the Royals 5.6% in win probability, and Salvador Perez struck out in the fourth for a minus 5.5% swing, the two most damaging plate appearances in what became a futile offensive evening.

Tyler Glasnow was the architect of the shutout on the mound, contributing a team-high plus 30.6% WPA for the Dodgers. His ability to strand Kansas City threats in the early innings, most notably extracting the Isbel double play in the third and the Perez strikeout in the fourth, kept the game from tightening before the Dodgers offense broke it open. Daniel Hudson and Evan Phillips followed in relief, adding plus 4.5% and plus 2.4% respectively as Los Angeles closed out the clean three-hit shutout.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025KC bats firstFinalLAD win %KC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 58.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Bot 6th · off Brady Singer
+11.2%
Shohei Ohtani Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Brady Singer
+10.9%
Freddie Freeman Home Run
Bot 6th · off Brady Singer
+8.0%
Kyle Isbel Grounded Into DP
Top 3rd · off Tyler Glasnow
-5.6%
Salvador Perez Strikeout
Top 4th · off Tyler Glasnow
-5.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Shohei Ohtani+22.1%+1.8 RE24
Vinnie Pasquantino+7.8%+0.4 RE24
Freddie Freeman+7.8%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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