Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians handed the Miami Marlins a 6-3 defeat at loanDepot park on June 9, 2024, in a game the DiamondIQ model entered giving Miami just a 24 percent chance of winning — a number that fell to zero by the final out. Cleveland built its margin incrementally, scratching across a run in the second, absorbing Miami answers in the fourth and fifth, then delivering the knockout blow in a three-run seventh that put the game firmly out of reach.

The decisive moment came in the top of the seventh when Tyler Freeman launched a home run off A.J. Puk, a swing that shifted win probability by 30.3 percentage points and stood as the single most impactful play of the contest. Freeman finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-24.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.1, underscoring just how central his contribution was to the outcome. The Guardians had also generated meaningful leverage in the sixth inning, where a José Ramírez double off Andrew Nardi added 8.5 percentage points and a David Fry single immediately followed for another 7.9 points, collectively setting the table for Cleveland's decisive frame. On the Miami side, Jazz Chisholm Jr. provided the brightest moment with a fourth-inning home run off Carlos Carrasco that added 11.9 percentage points, but the Marlins could not sustain the pressure.

Trevor Rogers led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-26.5 percent despite pitching for the losing side, a reflection of his early-inning effectiveness that briefly kept Miami viable. Cleveland's bullpen closed efficiently, with Nick Sandlin adding plus-7.1 percent and Sam Hentges contributing plus-6.3 percent. Steven Kwan rounded out the notable Guardians performers at plus-11.9 percent WPA, and Xavier Edwards added plus-8.7 percent as Cleveland's lineup did enough damage across ten hits to make a 6-3 final look comfortable by the end.