Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| KC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | 8 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Kansas City Royals defeated the Seattle Mariners 8-4 on June 8, 2024, at Kauffman Stadium, turning what was a competitive early game into a comfortable home victory. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Kansas City a 59% win probability, and by the final out that figure had climbed to 100%, reflecting just how thoroughly the Royals took control over the game's middle innings.
The fifth inning was the decisive turning point in both directions. Seattle briefly threatened with Mitch Garver's home run off Alec Marsh, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 12.4 points, and a J.P. Crawford single off the same pitcher added another plus 10.1 points, giving the Mariners a momentary foothold. Kansas City answered emphatically in the bottom half against Luis Castillo, as Vinnie Pasquantino delivered a double that represented the single biggest play of the game at plus 22.1 points of win probability, and Nick Loftin followed with a single worth another plus 9.4 points. The Royals extended their advantage in the sixth when Kyle Isbel doubled off Kirby Snead for a plus 19.0-point swing, effectively closing the door on any Seattle comeback.
Pasquantino finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a plus 19.7 WPA and 1.1 RE24, while Isbel posted a 1.7 RE24 to go along with his plus 17.5 WPA. Garver was the standout for Seattle, contributing plus 18.7 WPA and a 1.2 RE24 in a losing effort. Out of the Kansas City bullpen, Sam Long, Will Smith, and John Schreiber combined to protect the lead with WPA figures of plus 5.7, plus 5.0, and plus 4.5, respectively, allowing the Royals to close out a wire-to-wire dominant performance in the game's final innings.