Texas Rangers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
The Story
The Texas Rangers clinched the 2023 World Series with a 3-1 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on October 30, 2023, completing the series in five games. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving Arizona a 54% chance of winning at home, but that edge evaporated quickly and the model's estimate fell to 0% by the final out.
The decisive moment came in the third inning, when Corey Seager turned on a Brandon Pfaadt offering for a home run, swinging the win probability by 18.4 percentage points in Texas's favor. Marcus Semien had extended the inning with a single moments earlier, adding another 9.1 points to the Rangers' probability. Arizona mounted its most credible threat in the eighth, when Geraldo Perdomo singled off Aroldis Chapman to shift the win probability 12.3 points toward the Diamondbacks. That rally died on a Ketel Marte ground ball double play, a swing of negative 14.4 points that effectively ended Arizona's hopes. Perdomo's run in that frame accounted for the D-backs' lone tally. In the ninth, Tommy Pham's strikeout against José Leclerc sealed a 14.4-point probability shift back to Texas, closing the door entirely.
Among the standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's win-probability accounting, Seager led all batters at plus 17.0% WPA with a RE24 of plus 1.4, while Tommy Pham contributed plus 12.5% WPA and Emmanuel Rivera added plus 8.6% WPA on the offensive side. On the mound, Jon Gray was the most impactful arm of the night at plus 16.8% WPA, followed by Max Scherzer at plus 11.6% and Josh Sborz at plus 6.3%, as Texas's pitching staff held Arizona to a single run across nine innings.