MLB Recap · September 20, 2023

Chicago White Sox at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

CWS3
Final
WSH13

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CWS010000020362
WSH13422001-13141

The Story

The Washington Nationals handed the Chicago White Sox a lopsided defeat on September 20, 2023 at Nationals Park, rolling to a 13-3 victory that was never particularly close. The DiamondIQ model opened with Washington as a 61 percent favorite before the game, and by the final out that estimate had climbed to 100 percent as the Nationals built an insurmountable lead through the first five innings, outscoring Chicago 12-1 over that stretch and finishing with 14 hits against two errors from the visitors.

The decisive sequence arrived in the second and third innings, where Washington put the game effectively out of reach. In the bottom of the second, CJ Abrams delivered a double off Tanner Banks that added 9.0 percent to Washington's win probability, with Ildemaro Vargas following with a single worth 5.2 percent and Luis García Jr. adding another double for a 4.5 percent swing, all coming against Banks in what became a damaging frame. The most impactful single play of the night came in the bottom of the third, when Lane Thomas connected on a home run off Jesse Scholtens, a swing that moved Washington's win probability by 13.8 percent. The only moment the White Sox generated any genuine leverage was a Carlos Pérez double off Josiah Gray in the top of the third, which added 5.5 percent in Chicago's favor, but the rally stalled before it could alter the game's trajectory.

Lane Thomas finished as the night's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, posting a plus-15.0 percent WPA and plus-3.8 RE24 to lead all batters. Abrams was close behind at plus-11.2 percent WPA and plus-2.4 RE24, while García Jr. contributed plus-6.2 percent WPA and plus-1.6 RE24. On the pitching side, Josiah Gray led Washington's staff with a modest plus-0.1 percent WPA, reflecting how thoroughly the offense carried the evening for the home side.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CWS bats firstFinalWSH win %CWS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 60.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Lane Thomas Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Jesse Scholtens
+13.8%
CJ Abrams Double
Bot 2nd · off Tanner Banks
+9.0%
Carlos Pérez Double
Top 3rd · off Josiah Gray
+5.5%
Ildemaro Vargas Single
Bot 2nd · off Tanner Banks
+5.2%
Luis García Jr. Double
Bot 2nd · off Tanner Banks
+4.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Lane Thomas+15.0%+3.8 RE24
CJ Abrams+11.2%+2.4 RE24
Luis García Jr.+6.2%+1.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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