Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| AZ | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - | 12 | 17 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 12-8 at Chase Field on April 8, 2023, in a game that was closer early than the final margin suggests. The DiamondIQ model entered with a 54 percent home win probability for Arizona, a figure that climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by game's end. Los Angeles struck first with a four-run opening inning, but Arizona answered emphatically in the second, with Ketel Marte and Geraldo Perdomo both going deep off Noah Syndergaard. Marte's home run shifted win probability by plus 14.6 percent, and Perdomo's blast added another plus 12.0 percent, swinging the game's center of gravity firmly toward the home side within the first two innings.
The Dodgers mounted their most credible threat in the sixth inning, when Freddie Freeman's double off Kevin Ginkel added plus 11.9 percent win probability and briefly tightened the contest, and a Mookie Betts walk in the fourth had already contributed plus 10.3 percent, helping extend a Los Angeles threat. But Arizona answered in the bottom of the sixth with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. delivering a triple off Brusdar Graterol worth plus 13.5 percent win probability, effectively neutralizing the Dodgers' push and pushing Arizona back into firm control. The Diamondbacks added three more runs in the seventh to seal it.
Among the top individual performers by the DiamondIQ model's accounting, Mookie Betts led all batters with a plus 19.6 percent WPA contribution despite being on the losing side, reflecting how consequential his plate appearances were in keeping Los Angeles competitive. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. finished second at plus 16.7 percent WPA with a plus 2.6 RE24, making him the game's most impactful Arizona hitter. Alek Thomas also contributed meaningfully at plus 12.9 percent WPA and plus 1.4 RE24. On the mound, Kyle Nelson led Arizona's relievers with plus 6.5 percent WPA, followed by Scott McGough at plus 5.0 percent, as the bullpen protected a lead that the offense had built through consistent run production across nearly every inning of the contest.