MLB Recap · September 27, 2026

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

CHC6
Final
BOS2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CHC2010000036130
BOS110000000251

The Story

The Chicago Cubs defeated the Boston Red Sox 6-2 on September 27, 2026, at Tropicana Field, finishing with 13 hits and no errors while holding Boston to just 5 hits and forcing a costly Red Sox error. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Boston a 53% win probability, but that edge eroded steadily and closed at 0% as Chicago's pitching staff smothered the home offense across the middle innings.

The game's decisive shift came in the third inning, when Alex Bregman connected on a home run off Tanner Houck, a swing that added 10.7% to Chicago's win probability and represented the single biggest positive play of the afternoon for the Cubs. Boston's attempts to claw back were repeatedly neutralized by their own bats, most damagingly in the sixth inning when Caleb Durbin grounded into a double play off Braxton Garrett, costing the Red Sox 10.6% in win probability, and in the eighth when Wilyer Abreu grounded out against Colin Rea for a 12.9% swing in Chicago's favor. Jahmai Jones added another double play in the fifth against Garrett to further deflate Boston's chances.

On the pitching side, Braxton Garrett led all pitchers with a 23.1% WPA, followed by Colin Rea at 21.9% and Patrick Sandoval at 17.1%, a trio that collectively shut down any sustained Red Sox threat through the middle frames. Bregman was the offensive catalyst, finishing as the game's top batter at plus 20.1% WPA and plus 4.6 RE24, while Miguel Amaya and Adley Rutschman contributed supporting performances before Chicago salted the game away with a three-run ninth inning to make the final margin 6-2.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CHC bats firstFinalBOS win %CHC win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 52.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Wilyer Abreu — Groundout
Bot 8th · off Colin Rea
-12.9%
Alex Bregman — Home Run
Top 3rd · off Tanner Houck
+10.7%
Caleb Durbin — Grounded Into DP
Bot 6th · off Braxton Garrett
-10.6%
Michael Busch — Grounded Into DP
Top 5th · off Patrick Sandoval
-7.7%
Jahmai Jones — Grounded Into DP
Bot 5th · off Braxton Garrett
-7.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Alex Bregman+20.1%+4.6 RE24
Miguel Amaya+4.6%+0.3 RE24
Adley Rutschman+3.4%+1.0 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →