MLB Recap · September 26, 2026

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

LAA4
Final
SEA8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAA000004000471
SEA01012040-8122

The Story

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Los Angeles Angels 8-4 on September 26, 2026, at T-Mobile Park, a game the DiamondIQ model's estimate had Seattle winning with 62% pre-game probability, a figure that climbed to 100% by the final out. Seattle built its lead methodically through the early innings, scoring single runs in the second and fourth before a two-run fifth pushed their advantage to four. The Angels mounted their only meaningful response in the top of the sixth, plating four runs to draw even, but Seattle answered immediately and decisively in the bottom of the seventh, putting the game away with a four-run inning that erased any remaining doubt.

The single highest win-probability swing of the contest came in the top of the sixth, where Tyler Heineman's sacrifice bunt added 29.2% to the Angels' win probability, a rare instance of a small-ball play generating that level of model impact amid the Angels' four-run rally. The Mariners neutralized that threat moments later when Vaughn Grissom grounded out against Carlos Vargas, swinging win probability 8.3% back toward Seattle. In the bottom of the seventh, Taylor Ward's single off Mitch Farris added 15.6% for Seattle, and J.P. Crawford followed with a home run off the same pitcher, contributing another 11.3%. Lazaro Montes had set an early tone with a double against Ryan Johnson in the second inning, worth 9.4% in win probability at the time.

Among position players, Heineman finished as the top WPA contributor at plus 30.2% with a RE24 of plus 2.2, while Cole Young added plus 16.6% WPA and plus 1.9 RE24, and Ward rounded out the top three at plus 15.6% WPA. On the pitching side, Carlos Vargas led Seattle's staff with plus 16.2% WPA, followed by Michael Rucker at plus 12.1% and Blake Weiman at plus 7.1%, a trio that collectively secured the Mariners' comfortable margin through the final three innings.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAA bats firstFinalSEA win %LAA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 62% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Tyler Heineman — Sac Bunt
Top 6th · off José A. Ferrer
+29.2%
Taylor Ward — Single
Bot 7th · off Mitch Farris
+15.6%
J.P. Crawford — Home Run
Bot 7th · off Mitch Farris
+11.3%
Lazaro Montes — Double
Bot 2nd · off Ryan Johnson
+9.4%
Vaughn Grissom — Groundout
Top 6th · off Carlos Vargas
-8.3%

Top Batters by WPA

Tyler Heineman+30.2%+2.2 RE24
Cole Young+16.6%+1.9 RE24
Taylor Ward+15.6%+1.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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