Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners handed the Los Angeles Angels a 7-2 defeat at Angel Stadium on September 16, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of an Angels win falling from a pre-game 46% all the way to 0% by the final out. Seattle scored in just three innings — tallying two in the first, three in the fifth, and two in the sixth — while Los Angeles managed single runs in the first and second before going scoreless the rest of the way despite finishing with ten hits. The Mariners committed one error to the Angels' two, and Seattle's nine hits proved far more damaging in terms of timing and sequencing.

The fifth inning was the decisive stretch of the game, and the DiamondIQ model's win-probability data makes that clear. Josh Naylor's fielders choice off Yusei Kikuchi added 13.5 percentage points of win probability for Seattle, the single biggest swing of the contest, and Cal Raleigh followed with a double off Kikuchi that added another 12.9 points, effectively putting the game out of reach. On the Angels' side, Carlos Vargas kept Los Angeles from mounting any response, as Josh Lowe's strikeout in the bottom of the fifth cost the home team 8.8 points of win probability and Christian Moore's strikeout removed another 7.0 points, a pair of outs that extinguished any realistic comeback scenario.

Cal Raleigh led all batters with a WPA of plus 19.3% and an RE24 of plus 2.0, while Naylor matched that RE24 figure and contributed plus 10.6% in WPA. Taylor Ward was the Angels' best offensive contributor at plus 6.3% WPA, though his RE24 of minus 0.3 reflected limited run-creation impact. On the mound, Carlos Vargas was the standout, posting a plus 12.3% WPA to pace all pitchers, with Cooper Criswell adding plus 2.3% and starter George Kirby contributing plus 0.6% despite surrendering Adam Frazier's second-inning single, the Angels' most damaging single play at plus 7.6% WPA.