New York Mets at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| NYY | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | 6 | 13 | 1 |
The Story
The New York Yankees defeated the New York Mets 6-4 at Yankee Stadium on September 11, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model had anticipated from the outset, setting a pre-game home win probability of 65% that climbed steadily to 100% by the final out. New York built its lead early and never fully relinquished control, though the Mets mounted enough late resistance to make the final innings uncomfortable. The game's decisive sequence came in the bottom of the second inning, when Cody Bellinger launched a home run off Nolan McLean that shifted win probability by plus 19.1 percentage points, the single largest swing of the night and the blow that effectively framed the contest in New York's favor from that point forward.
The Mets briefly threatened to claw back in the eighth inning, when a Carson Benge walk off Brent Headrick generated an 8.7-point swing in the visitors' direction, but Marcus Semien answered with a sacrifice fly off David Bednar in the same frame that reversed the momentum by minus 9.8 percentage points. Francisco Lindor's lineout in the top of the seventh off Brent Headrick had already cost the Mets 9.2 points of win probability, and Juan Soto grounded into a double play in the ninth off Bednar for a further minus 7.1-point swing, effectively closing the door on any Mets comeback.
Bellinger led all position players with a WPA of plus 18.9 and an RE24 of plus 2.6, while A.J. Ewing contributed plus 8.2 WPA and plus 1.6 RE24 in support. On the mound, David Bednar was the most impactful arm of the night at plus 15.9 WPA, followed by Carlos Rodón at plus 9.2 WPA. Jack Weisenburger was the only Yankees pitcher to finish in negative territory, posting minus 3.7 WPA.