New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets handed the Miami Marlins a 9-4 defeat at loanDepot park on September 7, 2026, collecting 16 hits against a Miami pitching staff that could not contain New York's lineup through the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with Miami holding a 58% win probability, but that figure eroded steadily and closed at 0% as the Mets built an insurmountable advantage across the first six frames.

The two most decisive sequences came in the second and fourth innings. In the bottom of the second, Miami's Graham Pauley launched a home run off Jonah Tong that shifted win probability 16.1 points in the Marlins' favor, and Javier Sanoja followed with a triple adding another 9.9 points, briefly giving Miami legitimate hope after falling behind in the first. That momentum proved short-lived. In the top of the fourth, A.J. Ewing delivered a double off Eury Pérez that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the game at plus-18.5 points for New York, and Bo Bichette extended the damage with a single worth another 7.7 points. The Mets added two more runs in the sixth on a Marcus Semien double off Josh Ekness, a 7.5-point swing that effectively closed the door.

Ewing was the game's most impactful individual performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-34.0 and an RE24 of plus-3.7, making him the clear engine of New York's offensive output. On the pitching side, Cade Gibson led Mets relievers with a WPA of plus-3.0, supported by Dedniel Núñez at plus-2.4 and Chris Devenski at plus-1.7 as the bullpen held Miami scoreless over the final seven innings. Miami's two errors compounded the damage, and the Marlins' six-hit total offered little resistance to a Mets attack that never truly relinquished control after the fourth.