MLB Recap · September 7, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

TOR5
Final
ATH6

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TOR010000301593
ATH202010001660

The Story

The Athletics held off the Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 at Sutter Health Park on September 7, 2026, in a game that swung dramatically in its final two innings. Oakland entered the contest as a slight underdog, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate placing the home side at a 44 percent pre-game win probability, but that figure climbed to 100 percent by the final out. The game appeared to shift toward Toronto in the top of the ninth when Andrés Giménez launched a home run off Hogan Harris, a swing that added 35.7 percent in win probability and briefly gave the Blue Jays life after trailing for much of the contest. Giménez had already done damage with a double off Jacob Lopez in the seventh, a hit worth 14.5 percent in win probability that contributed to a three-run Toronto frame.

Oakland answered decisively in the bottom of the ninth against Louis Varland. Jeff McNeil delivered the decisive blow, a single that added 33.4 percent in win probability and represented the highest positive impact of any play in the frame for the Athletics. Donovan Walton's walk earlier in the inning built the conditions for the rally, contributing 10.5 percent in win probability, while Alika Williams's forceout represented the lone significant swing in Toronto's favor at minus 10.5 percent, ultimately not enough to prevent the Athletics from completing the comeback.

Giménez was the game's most impactful individual performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus 48.3 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.0, though those numbers came in a losing effort. Henry Bolte led Oakland's position players with a WPA of plus 14.8 percent and an RE24 of plus 2.2, while McNeil's plus 29.2 percent WPA made him the Blue Jays' second-most consequential bat. On the mound, Luis Medina paced Oakland's pitching staff with plus 7.8 percent WPA, with Paul Sewald and Mason Fluharty each contributing positively in support. Toronto's three errors proved a significant factor in their inability to protect leads, as Oakland finished the game without an error against nine Blue Jays hits allowed.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TOR bats firstFinalATH win %TOR win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 44.2% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Andrés Giménez — Home Run
Top 9th · off Hogan Harris
+35.7%
Jeff McNeil — Single
Bot 9th · off Louis Varland
+33.4%
Andrés Giménez — Double
Top 7th · off Jacob Lopez
+14.5%
Alika Williams — Forceout
Bot 9th · off Louis Varland
-10.5%
Bot 9th · off Louis Varland
+10.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Andrés Giménez+48.3%+2.0 RE24
Jeff McNeil+29.2%+0.3 RE24
Henry Bolte+14.8%+2.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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