MLB Recap · August 30, 2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

BOS1
Final
NYY16

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
BOS000000010170
NYY00005119-16180

The Story

The New York Yankees routed the Boston Red Sox 16-1 at Yankee Stadium on August 30, 2026, a game that was effectively decided in a single inning. The DiamondIQ model entered with a 57 percent home win probability for New York and finished at 100 percent, a climb that was largely completed by the end of the fifth inning as the Yankees sent a parade of hitters to the plate and buried Ranger Suarez.

The decisive sequence came in the bottom of the fifth, when the Yankees broke what had been a scoreless game open in emphatic fashion against Suarez. Heliot Ramos delivered the single most impactful play of the night, a home run that added 15.3 percent to New York's win probability. Paul Goldschmidt followed with a single that pushed the figure another 13.0 percent, and José Caballero contributed a single worth an additional 4.3 percent. By the time the inning was over, the Yankees had plated five runs and Suarez had surrendered all of the night's critical leverage moments. New York added a run in the sixth, another in the seventh, and then poured on nine more in the eighth to reach the final margin of 16.

Ramos finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, accumulating a WPA of plus 20.2 percent and a RE24 of plus 3.6, driven by both his fifth-inning home run and a fourth-inning single worth plus 4.0 percent. Goldschmidt posted a WPA of plus 10.8 percent with a RE24 of plus 1.8, while Caballero contributed a WPA of plus 2.2 percent and a RE24 of plus 2.7. On the pitching side, Will Warren led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 20.9 percent, underpinning a Boston offense that managed only seven hits and crossed the plate just once, in the eighth inning.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025BOS bats firstFinalNYY win %BOS win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Heliot Ramos — Home Run
Bot 5th · off Ranger Suarez
+15.3%
Paul Goldschmidt — Single
Bot 5th · off Ranger Suarez
+13.0%
José Caballero — Single
Bot 5th · off Ranger Suarez
+4.3%
Heliot Ramos — Single
Bot 4th · off Ranger Suarez
+4.0%
Luis García Jr. — Grounded Into DP
Bot 1st · off Ranger Suarez
-3.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Heliot Ramos+20.2%+3.6 RE24
Paul Goldschmidt+10.8%+1.8 RE24
José Caballero+2.2%+2.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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