MLB Recap · August 26, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

TB3
Final
DET0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
TB020001000380
DET000000000020

The Story

The Tampa Bay Rays shut out the Detroit Tigers 3-0 at Comerica Park on August 26, 2026, limiting Detroit to just two hits while the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Detroit win fell from 41% pregame all the way to 0% by the final out. Tampa Bay did its damage in two concentrated bursts, scoring twice in the second inning and adding a third run in the sixth, while Rays pitching held Detroit scoreless across all nine frames.

The second inning was the decisive sequence of the game. Jonny DeLuca's double off Troy Melton shifted win probability by 5.9 percentage points in Tampa Bay's favor, and Cedric Mullins followed with a single that added another 4.7 points, the two-hit rally establishing the game's early margin. Detroit's best chance to respond came immediately in the bottom half, but Spencer Torkelson's strikeout against Freddy Peralta swung win probability 4.6 points back toward Tampa Bay, effectively snuffing the threat before it started. Jonathan Aranda then extended the lead in the sixth with a double off Melton worth 5.4 percentage points, pushing Tampa Bay to a three-run cushion that Detroit would never threaten.

Freddy Peralta was the most impactful individual on the night by a wide margin, contributing 29.5 percentage points of win probability for Tampa Bay out of the bullpen, with Kevin Kelly adding another 11.5. Among position players, Aranda led the way at plus-7.1% WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while DeLuca and Mullins each contributed 2.8 percentage points of win probability added. Detroit's Kevin McGonigle provided the only notable positive moment for the home side, a lineout in the ninth off Tyler Wells that registered a 6.3-point swing, though it came far too late to alter the outcome.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025TB bats firstFinalDET win %TB win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 41.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Kevin McGonigle — Lineout
Bot 9th · off Tyler Wells
+6.3%
Jonny DeLuca — Double
Top 2nd · off Troy Melton
+5.9%
Jonathan Aranda — Double
Top 6th · off Troy Melton
+5.4%
Cedric Mullins — Single
Top 2nd · off Troy Melton
+4.7%
Spencer Torkelson — Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Freddy Peralta
-4.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Jonathan Aranda+7.1%+1.0 RE24
Jonny DeLuca+2.8%+0.5 RE24
Cedric Mullins+2.8%+0.4 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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