New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the Baltimore Orioles 6-1 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on August 20, 2026, dropping the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Baltimore win from 45% before first pitch to 0% at the final out. The Yankees broke the scoreless tie in the third inning against Kyle Bradish in decisive fashion, with Heliot Ramos delivering a double that swung win probability 9.8 points in New York's favor, followed immediately by a José Caballero fielder's choice that added another 9.6 points. The Orioles received a brief reprieve in the fifth when Dylan Beavers connected on a home run off Gerrit Cole, a swing that shifted win probability 10.6 points toward Baltimore and stood as the single biggest play of the game in either direction. New York responded in the sixth with a Luis García Jr. home run off Bradish worth 9.6 points of win probability, and added an insurance run in the eighth to close out the 6-1 final. Trent Grisham's third-inning ground into a double play cost the Yankees 9.2 points of win probability, briefly stemming their own momentum during the pivotal frame.

Spencer Jones led all position players with a win-probability contribution of plus 10.7 points and a run expectancy of plus 1.4, while Ben Rice added plus 10.2 points and plus 0.7 RE24, and García finished at plus 9.0 points with plus 1.2 RE24. On the mound, Gerrit Cole was the dominant figure, producing plus 12.4 points of win probability for the Yankees and holding Baltimore to one run on four hits. Ryan Yarbrough contributed plus 3.0 points in relief, and Grant Wolfram added plus 1.1 points to close things out. New York finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore managed just four hits and was charged with one error in a performance that offered little resistance once the Yankees' third-inning burst put the game firmly in hand.