Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks shut out the Atlanta Braves 2-0 at Truist Park on August 14, 2026, holding a team the DiamondIQ model had installed as 61% pre-game favorites to just three hits across nine innings. Arizona scored the game's only two runs in the first and ninth innings, and the Braves never seriously threatened, finishing with a win probability that fell to zero.

The pivotal stretch came in the eighth and ninth innings. With Atlanta still alive in the bottom of the eighth, Juan Morillo induced a strikeout of Dominic Smith that swung win probability 16.5 points in Arizona's favor, the single most consequential play of the game. Gabriel Moreno had set the tone in the top of that inning with a double off Dylan Dodd that shifted the outlook 10.2 points toward the Diamondbacks, though Ildemaro Vargas followed with a lineout that gave 9.5 points back to Atlanta. Tim Tawa then put the game away with a ninth-inning home run off Tyler Kinley worth 8.9 points of win probability, and Matt Olson's strikeout to close the bottom of the ninth added another 14.4 points in Arizona's favor as the final out was recorded.

Brandon Pfaadt was the evening's dominant performer, contributing a staggering plus-51.6% in win probability added to lead all pitchers on the night. Juan Morillo and Chris Sale supported him with contributions of plus-23.3% and plus-15.7% respectively, a collective shutdown effort that made the three-hit shutout possible. Among position players, Geraldo Perdomo led all batters with plus-11.2% WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.2, while Tawa's plus-8.3% WPA reflected the lasting damage his home run inflicted on Atlanta's chances.