Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins handled the Pittsburgh Pirates decisively at loanDepot park on August 12, 2026, winning 8-2 behind a third-inning burst that effectively decided the game. The DiamondIQ model entered with Miami as a 58% favorite, and by the time the final out was recorded, that figure had climbed to 100%. Pittsburgh finished with six hits and no errors, while Miami collected nine hits and committed one error, but the lopsided run total told the fuller story.

The damage came in concentrated bursts, with the bottom of the third inning serving as the decisive sequence. Agustín Ramírez delivered a double off Carmen Mlodzinski that shifted win probability by plus 11.3 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game, and Griffin Conine added his own double off Mlodzinski in the same frame for a plus 6.4 point swing as Miami put up four runs in the inning. A hit by pitch issued to Leo Jiménez off Evan Sisk in that stretch added another plus 7.5 points of win probability, illustrating how thoroughly Pittsburgh's pitching unraveled. The second inning offered a brief Pittsburgh response, with Xavier Edwards singling off Mlodzinski for a plus 6.2 point swing, though an Otto Lopez forceout in the same frame cost the Pirates minus 6.1 points and blunted any momentum.

Ramírez and Conine each finished as the top offensive contributors, both posting plus 12.7 percent WPA on the night, with Conine's plus 2.3 RE24 leading all batters in run-environment value. Joe Mack contributed plus 9.6 percent WPA and a plus 1.3 RE24, rounding out a well-distributed Marlins offensive effort. On the pitching side, Janson Junk led Miami's staff with plus 3.2 percent WPA, anchoring a bullpen that held Pittsburgh scoreless across the final seven innings after the Pirates scored their two runs in the second and fourth frames.