Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals: Final Score & Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals shut out the Philadelphia Phillies 2-0 on August 11, 2026, at Busch Stadium, with both runs coming in the final two innings of a tightly contested game. The DiamondIQ model opened with the Cardinals as a slim 51 percent home favorite, but by the final out that estimate had climbed to 100 percent, reflecting just how thoroughly St. Louis controlled the late innings once the scoring began.

The decisive sequence unfolded across the seventh and eighth innings. Masyn Winn's single off Alex McFarlane in the bottom of the seventh shifted win probability by plus 14.5 percent, putting the Cardinals on the board and fundamentally altering the game's complexion. Philadelphia's best opportunity to respond came in the top of the eighth, but it collapsed quickly. Bryce Harper drew a walk off Caleb Ferguson that swung win probability plus 11.8 percent in the Phillies' favor, but Luis Arraez immediately erased that momentum by grounding into a double play against Ryne Stanek, a swing of minus 27.3 percent that effectively ended Philadelphia's realistic path to a comeback. J.T. Realmuto then flew out for a minus 13.2 percent swing, and Everson Pereira's solo home run off Tim Mayza in the bottom half, worth plus 12.0 percent, closed the door.

Ryne Stanek was the standout performer of the night, leading all pitchers with plus 40.5 percent WPA after neutralizing the Phillies' eighth-inning threat. Cristopher Sánchez added plus 29.5 percent WPA and Andre Pallante contributed plus 28.8 percent, as the Cardinals' bullpen collective did the bulk of the damage-prevention work. Among position players, Trea Turner led all batters with plus 17.9 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus 0.9, while Winn's plus 15.0 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24 made him the most impactful run-producer on either side.