Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-2 at Chase Field on August 9, 2026, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate shifting from a 48 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. Arizona built its advantage early, plating two runs in each of the first two innings to establish a 4-0 cushion before the Dodgers could respond, and the bullpen held firm from there to preserve the win.

The game's most consequential sequence came in the top of the eighth, when Freddie Freeman grounded into a double play off Taylor Clarke, a play that carried a win-probability swing of negative 13.8 percent for Los Angeles, effectively ending any realistic path to a comeback. The Dodgers' most productive threat had come two innings earlier, when Kyle Tucker laced a triple off Eduardo Rodriguez for a positive 10.3 percent swing, setting up what became one of Los Angeles's two runs. On the Arizona side, a Ketel Marte groundout in the bottom of the second generated a 9.2 percent positive swing in the home team's favor, reflecting the run-scoring context of that productive early frame.

Eduardo Rodriguez was the game's most impactful individual performer by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, finishing with a 21.9 percent positive WPA contribution across his outing. At the plate, Andy Pages led Los Angeles with a plus-11.2 percent WPA and a 1.0 RE24, his eighth-inning single off Clarke adding a modest consolation, while Ketel Marte paced Arizona's offensive contributors with a plus-11.1 percent WPA and a 1.4 RE24. Taylor Clarke and Kevin Ginkel each added positive WPA marks of 8.1 and 6.3 percent respectively as the Arizona bullpen closed out without issue.