Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks walked off the Los Angeles Dodgers 4-3 on August 7, 2026, at Chase Field, with Ryan Waldschmidt delivering a home run off Edwin Díaz in the bottom of the ninth inning to end it. The DiamondIQ model had opened the game with a 47 percent pre-game home win probability for Arizona, and by the time Waldschmidt connected, that figure had swung to 100 percent — a single swing worth +79.5 percent in win probability and the most impactful play of the night by a wide margin. Arizona had trailed entering the final frame, as Los Angeles had pushed across runs in the sixth, seventh, and eighth innings to take a 3-2 lead, but Waldschmidt's blast erased the deficit and ended the game in a single moment.
The path to that final swing was shaped by several key sequences. In the bottom of the eighth, Nolan Arenado struck out against Tanner Scott in a high-leverage spot, a plate appearance that cost Arizona 29.8 percent in win probability and stood as the second-largest swing of the game. Scott, despite that Arenado strikeout being framed as a negative for the batting team, finished as the night's top pitcher by WPA at +23.3 percent, holding the Diamondbacks in check long enough to keep Los Angeles in front entering the ninth. On the offensive side for the Dodgers, Andy Pages hit a home run off Brandyn Garcia in the top of the eighth worth +18.7 percent in win probability, and Shohei Ohtani grounded into a double play in the seventh off Garcia that erased a Kyle Tucker single and cost Los Angeles 21.0 percent in win probability at a moment when the Dodgers were threatening to extend their lead.
Waldschmidt finished as the game's top batter by WPA at +72.5 percent with a RE24 of +1.2, while Pages posted +21.6 percent WPA and +1.0 RE24 for Los Angeles. Tucker contributed +10.1 percent WPA and +0.6 RE24 despite Ohtani's double-play ball neutralizing his sixth inning presence. Merrill Kelly added +11.8 percent WPA for Arizona, and Edgardo Henriquez contributed +8.3 percent. Both teams finished with identical hit totals of seven, and neither committed an error, making Waldschmidt's ninth-inning shot the clean, singular difference between the two clubs on a night that was otherwise tightly contested through eight innings.