MLB Recap · August 7, 2026

Athletics at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

ATH1
Final
BOS13

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH000010000122
BOS05040220-13150

The Story

The Boston Red Sox routed the Oakland Athletics 13-1 at Fenway Park on August 7, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate largely anticipated, with Boston entering at a 70% pre-game win probability that climbed to 100% by game's end. The Red Sox wasted little time making that outcome feel inevitable, scoring five runs in the second inning and four more in the fourth to put the game well out of reach. Oakland managed just two hits and committed two errors, while Boston posted 15 hits against a combination of Athletics pitching that never found stable footing.

The decisive blow came in the bottom of the second, when Jarren Duran connected on a home run off Jack Perkins that shifted win probability by 12.7 percentage points, the single largest swing of the game. Wilyer Abreu followed up the same inning with a double off Perkins that added another 7.7 percentage points of win probability. A Caleb Durbin groundout in the same frame contributed a modest 4.5-percentage-point swing as Boston batted through its order, and Perkins was the central figure in the game's most consequential sequence. The only moment favoring Oakland among the top plays was Durbin's flyout to open the bottom of the first, which briefly shifted probability 5.5 points in the Athletics' direction before Boston seized control.

By top-line WPA, Duran led all batters at plus-12.2%, with an RE24 of plus-1.3, while Abreu posted the game's best run-environment impact at plus-2.5 RE24 to go with plus-8.6% WPA. Jake Rogers also contributed meaningfully at plus-5.0% WPA and plus-1.3 RE24. On the pitching side, Payton Tolle led Boston's staff with a plus-0.1% WPA contribution, reflecting how thoroughly the offense carried the afternoon.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalBOS win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 69.9% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jarren Duran — Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Jack Perkins
+12.7%
Wilyer Abreu — Double
Bot 2nd · off Jack Perkins
+7.7%
Caleb Durbin — Flyout
Bot 1st · off Jack Perkins
-5.5%
Caleb Durbin — Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Jack Perkins
+4.5%
Jonah Heim — Strikeout
Top 1st · off Payton Tolle
+3.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Jarren Duran+12.2%+1.3 RE24
Wilyer Abreu+8.6%+2.5 RE24
Jake Rogers+5.0%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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