Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

Boston walked off Chicago 12-11 in 13 innings at Fenway Park on August 6, 2026, in a game that required nearly every inning imaginable to decide. The Red Sox trailed at multiple points and needed a series of late, high-leverage hits to survive, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate shifting from a 57 percent pregame home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The line score tells the story of a game that swung back and forth across the middle innings before erupting again in extras, with Chicago scoring two in the top of the tenth and Boston answering with two of their own, then the teams trading single runs in the eleventh and twelfth before Boston finally ended it in the thirteenth.

The game's decisive moments were measured in massive win-probability swings. Ceddanne Rafaela's single off Trevor Richards in the bottom of the eleventh added 45.5 percentage points to Boston's win probability, the largest single play of the game, keeping the Red Sox alive when elimination loomed. Jake Rogers then delivered a sacrifice fly off Chris Murphy in the twelfth worth 42.6 points, extending the game further in Boston's favor. Earlier, Wilyer Abreu's single off Huascar Brazobán in the bottom of the ninth had added 39.4 points, preventing what would have been a Chicago victory in regulation. Caleb Durbin's walk-off single off Erick Fedde in the thirteenth closed matters with a 35.9-point swing. On the Chicago side, Chase Meidroth's home run off Aroldis Chapman in the top of the tenth registered a 33.7-point swing in the White Sox's direction, momentarily tilting the game back toward the visitors.

By WPA, Colson Montgomery led all players at plus-55.1 with a RE24 of plus-3.2, edging Meidroth, who finished at plus-50.5 and plus-2.9 despite playing for the losing team. Durbin contributed plus-47.2 in win probability despite a modest plus-1.0 RE24, reflecting how critical his moments were in terms of game state rather than run environment alone. On the pitching side, Grant Taylor was Boston's most valuable arm with plus-20.3 in WPA, followed by Erik Miller at plus-14.0 and Bryan Hudson at plus-6.6. The DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Boston's bullpen depth in extra innings as the structural edge that converted a chaotic game into a home win.