Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| CLE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks battered the Cleveland Guardians 12-8 at Progressive Field on August 1, 2026, handing Cleveland a loss in a game the DiamondIQ model had opened as a coin flip at 51 percent in favor of the home side. Arizona's offense broke the game open with a seven-run seventh inning that shifted the competitive balance entirely, pushing the model's estimated home win probability from a contested state to zero percent by the final out. The Diamondbacks finished with 16 hits and committed no errors, while Cleveland managed 14 hits of their own but were undermined by a single error and an inability to contain Arizona's late-game surge.
The decisive sequence unfolded in the top of the seventh against Cleveland relievers Franco Aleman and Hunter Gaddis. James McCann's double off Aleman represented the single largest win-probability swing of the night, adding 16.2 percent in Arizona's favor, and Geraldo Perdomo followed with a home run off Gaddis worth another 15.6 percent. Perdomo had also been instrumental two innings earlier, when his single off Parker Messick in the fifth added 14.8 percent, making him the engine of Arizona's comeback. Ildemaro Vargas contributed a single off Gaddis in that same seventh-inning rally, adding 12.4 percent. The lone moment Cleveland threatened to reclaim the game came in the sixth, when Corbin Carroll's flyout off Colin Holderman cost Arizona 8.3 percent in win probability, but the Guardians could not convert the opportunity into a sustained threat.
Perdomo finished as the game's standout performer by a substantial margin, posting a combined WPA of plus-30.1 percent and an RE24 of plus-3.0, reflecting his direct run-environment impact across multiple plate appearances. McCann supported him with a plus-16.3 percent WPA and plus-2.4 RE24, while Ketel Marte added a modest plus-6.8 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Gerardo Carrillo led Arizona's staff with a plus-13.3 percent WPA contribution, and Colin Holderman provided Cleveland's most effective relief outing at plus-6.8 percent from the home team's perspective, though it proved insufficient against a Diamondbacks lineup that produced in bulk when the game demanded it most.