MLB Recap · July 26, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals: Final Score & Recap

AZ7
Final
WSH10

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ101110012791
WSH01104031-10150

The Story

The Washington Nationals defeated the Arizona Diamondbacks 10-7 at Nationals Park on July 26, 2026, pulling away after a back-and-forth early stretch to hand Arizona a road loss. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with Washington holding a 53 percent home win probability, and that figure climbed steadily before reaching 100 percent by the final out. The Nationals built their margin through two decisive innings, particularly the bottom of the fifth, where Washington turned a narrow contest into a comfortable cushion.

The pivotal sequence came in that fifth inning, when CJ Abrams delivered a home run off Jonathan Loáisiga that shifted win probability by 21.1 percent, followed immediately by a James Wood home run off Kohl Drake worth another 20.3 percent swing. Those two swings in the same frame effectively broke the game open. Arizona had shown signs of life in the middle innings, as Geraldo Perdomo homered off Miles Mikolas in the top of the third for a 10.9 percent swing, and Ketel Marte added another home run in the top of the fourth that moved Arizona's win probability 11.3 percent. Washington answered with Abrams connecting again in the bottom of the third, a blast off Kohl Drake worth 11.2 percent, keeping the Nationals ahead on the probability ledger throughout. Washington added three more runs in the seventh to extend the lead further, and Arizona's two-run ninth came too late against a locked-in Nationals defense.

Abrams finished as the game's most impactful player by a significant margin, accumulating plus-26.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-2.2 across his multi-homer night. Perdomo was the most productive Diamondback, posting plus-17.0 percent WPA and the game's top RE24 mark of plus-2.3, while Wood contributed plus-15.1 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24 for Washington. On the mound, Clayton Beeter led Nationals pitchers with plus-7.9 percent WPA, followed by Max Kranick at plus-7.2 percent. Washington finished with 15 hits and committed no errors, while Arizona managed 9 hits and was charged with one error on the night.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalWSH win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.1% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

CJ Abrams Home Run
Bot 5th · off Jonathan Loáisiga
+21.1%
James Wood Home Run
Bot 5th · off Kohl Drake
+20.3%
Ketel Marte Home Run
Top 4th · off Miles Mikolas
+11.3%
CJ Abrams Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Kohl Drake
+11.2%
Geraldo Perdomo Home Run
Top 3rd · off Miles Mikolas
+10.9%

Top Batters by WPA

CJ Abrams+26.8%+2.2 RE24
Geraldo Perdomo+17.0%+2.3 RE24
James Wood+15.1%+1.9 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →