New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays: Final Score & Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays defeated the New York Yankees 6-4 at Tropicana Field on July 7, 2026, in a game that swung decisively in the fourth inning after the Yankees had briefly taken control. The DiamondIQ model entered the night favoring Tampa Bay with a 59% home win probability, and by game's end that figure had reached 100%.

The Yankees appeared to seize the momentum in the third inning, when Ben Rice's home run off Ian Seymour represented the single largest win-probability swing of the night, shifting the game 25.8 percentage points in New York's favor. Trent Grisham added a double in the same frame, contributing another 8.6 points of win probability, and the Yankees carried a 3-2 lead into the middle innings. The Rays responded with a decisive fourth inning that erased that advantage entirely. Hunter Feduccia's home run off Will Warren swung the win probability 17.6 points toward Tampa Bay, and Richie Palacios followed with a double worth 13.6 points. Yandy Díaz added a home run of his own in the same frame, a blow worth 8.5 percentage points, and the Rays scored four times in the inning to take a 6-3 lead they would not relinquish.

By the WPA leaderboard, Ben Rice was the game's most impactful individual batter despite being on the losing side, finishing at plus-30.4% WP and plus-2.8 RE24. Feduccia led all Rays batters at plus-18.5% WP and plus-1.6 RE24, while Palacios contributed plus-14.4% WP and plus-1.3 RE24. Out of the bullpen, Garrett Cleavinger led Tampa Bay's relievers with plus-8.1% WP, followed by Bryan Baker at plus-6.3% and Cam Booser at plus-3.6%, as the Rays' pitching staff held the Yankees scoreless over the final five innings after the third.