MLB Recap · July 6, 2026

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

COL7
Final
LAD8

Line Score

Team1234567891011RHE
COL01001100310791
LAD002400000118130

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers survived a late Colorado rally to take a tense extra-innings contest at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on July 6, 2026, winning 8-7 in eleven innings. The Dodgers built their advantage methodically through the middle innings, scoring two in the third and four more in the fourth to stake themselves to a comfortable cushion. Los Angeles carried that lead into the ninth, where the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win sat at a commanding level before Colorado mounted a serious threat. The Rockies clawed back three runs in the top of the ninth, with Cole Carrigg delivering the most consequential single swing of the game — a double off Tanner Scott that swung win probability 29.6 points in Colorado's favor and tied the proceedings heading into extra frames.

The tenth inning proved the turning point in both directions. Ezequiel Tovar's lineout off Edgardo Henriquez and Tyler Freeman's sacrifice bunt off the same pitcher registered as positive WPA events for Colorado at plus-21.1 and plus-16.4 points respectively, reflecting the high-leverage baserunner situation the Rockies created in the top half. Colorado managed to push across a run in the top of the tenth to take the lead, but the Dodgers answered immediately. A Mookie Betts field error off Brennan Bernardino swung 20.4 points in Los Angeles's favor by extending the inning, and Freddie Freeman's groundout — counterintuitively positive at plus-23.7 WPA — plated the decisive run in a manner that reflects how the run-expectancy environment resolved in the Dodgers' favor. Los Angeles then completed the win with a run in the eleventh to close it out.

Among the individual performers, Carrigg led all batters with a plus-30.0 WPA and plus-2.0 RE24 despite his team ultimately falling short, while Tovar and Tyler Freeman added plus-25.4 and plus-22.2 WPA respectively in a losing effort. On the pitching side, Brock Stewart led Dodgers relievers at plus-5.0 WPA, followed by Alex Vesia at plus-4.5 and Zach Agnos at plus-2.9, a trio that collectively held Colorado in check through the critical late innings. The DiamondIQ model had opened with a 77 percent pre-game probability favoring the home side, and by the final out that estimate had reached 100 percent.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalLAD win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 76.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Cole Carrigg Double
Top 9th · off Tanner Scott
+29.6%
Freddie Freeman Groundout
Bot 10th · off Brennan Bernardino
+23.7%
Ezequiel Tovar Lineout
Top 10th · off Edgardo Henriquez
+21.1%
Mookie Betts Field Error
Bot 10th · off Brennan Bernardino
+20.4%
Tyler Freeman Sac Bunt
Top 10th · off Edgardo Henriquez
+16.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Cole Carrigg+30.0%+2.0 RE24
Ezequiel Tovar+25.4%+0.7 RE24
Tyler Freeman+22.2%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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