MLB Recap · June 30, 2026

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

MIA14
Final
COL3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIA11300323114210
COL100000101352

The Story

The Miami Marlins routed the Colorado Rockies 14-3 at Coors Field on June 30, 2026, delivering a dominant performance that left little doubt after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Colorado entering with a 39 percent chance of winning at home, but that figure collapsed quickly as Miami built a cushion it would never relinquish, scoring in six of nine innings on the way to a 21-hit, zero-error effort against a Rockies club that committed two errors of its own.

The decisive blow came in the top of the third inning, when Javier Sanoja hit a home run off Tanner Gordon that swung win probability 24.0 percentage points in Miami's favor. That single play was the hinge on which the game turned, and Sanoja finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-25.5 percent and a RE24 of plus-3.0 on the day. Leo Jiménez had added a single off Gordon in the second inning worth plus-4.5 percent WPA, part of his overall line of plus-6.1 percent WPA and plus-1.9 RE24 that made him the second-most impactful bat in the game. Griffin Conine also contributed meaningfully, finishing at plus-4.8 percent WPA and plus-2.3 RE24. Colorado's best moment came in the bottom of the fifth, when Ezequiel Tovar grounded into a forceout off Eury Pérez, a play that moved the needle minus-4.9 percent against Miami, though it proved far too little to matter.

On the mound, Eury Pérez was the story for Miami, earning plus-11.0 percent WPA to lead all pitchers despite the Rockies putting runners on in that fifth inning. His ability to limit damage, including inducing the Tovar forceout and inducing a walk to Kyle Karros that actually shifted probability 4.0 points back toward Miami's favor in context, kept Colorado from mounting any meaningful threat. Lake Bachar added plus-1.1 percent WPA in relief, and Cade Gibson was neutral at 0.0. The final margin of eleven runs was as lopsided as any result Coors Field had hosted, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Colorado's win probability finished at zero percent.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIA bats firstFinalCOL win %MIA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 38.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Javier Sanoja Home Run
Top 3rd · off Tanner Gordon
+24.0%
Ezequiel Tovar Forceout
Bot 5th · off Eury Pérez
-4.9%
Leo Jiménez Single
Top 2nd · off Tanner Gordon
+4.5%
Kyle Stowers Single
Top 6th · off Seth Halvorsen
+4.1%
Kyle Karros Walk
Bot 5th · off Eury Pérez
+4.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Javier Sanoja+25.5%+3.0 RE24
Leo Jiménez+6.1%+1.9 RE24
Griffin Conine+4.8%+2.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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