MLB Recap · June 28, 2026

Athletics at Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Recap

ATH1
Final
LAA4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATH000010000161
LAA04000000-460

The Story

The Los Angeles Angels defeated the visiting Oakland Athletics 4-1 on June 28, 2026, at Angel Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a home win shifting from a coin-flip 49% before first pitch to a virtual certainty of 100% by game's end. The Angels did nearly all their damage in a single decisive second inning, scoring all four of their runs against Athletics starter Aaron Civale and never relinquishing the lead.

The pivotal moment of the game came in the bottom of the second, when Josh Lowe launched a home run off Civale that swung win probability by 17.6 percentage points, the single largest play of the contest. That blast was followed by a Denzer Guzman groundout that, in context of the developing rally, added another 8.6 percentage points to the Angels' chances as the inning continued to pile damage on the Athletics bullpen. Lowe finished as the game's top performer by both WPA and RE24, posting a plus-17.0 percent win-probability contribution and a RE24 of plus-2.7. Guzman was second among position players at plus-9.8 percent WPA, while Henry Bolte added plus-5.9 percent. Oakland's best threat materialized in the top of the eighth when Joey Meneses drew a walk off Ryan Zeferjahn to add 8.2 percentage points to the Athletics' chances, but Zeferjahn answered by striking out Shea Langeliers and Jonah Heim in succession, erasing minus-7.3 and minus-6.4 percentage points from Oakland's win probability respectively and effectively ending any realistic comeback bid.

On the mound, the Angels received strong contributions across their pitching staff, with Sam Aldegheri leading the way at plus-10.6 percent WPA, followed closely by José Fermin at plus-10.0 percent and Samy Natera Jr. at plus-6.4 percent. The Athletics finished with a line of 1 run, 6 hits, and 1 error, while Los Angeles matched the hit total but committed no errors, converting their second-inning burst into a clean, controlled victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATH bats firstFinalLAA win %ATH win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.7% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Josh Lowe Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Aaron Civale
+17.6%
Denzer Guzman Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Aaron Civale
+8.6%
Joey Meneses Walk
Top 8th · off Ryan Zeferjahn
+8.2%
Shea Langeliers Strikeout
Top 8th · off Ryan Zeferjahn
-7.3%
Jonah Heim Strikeout
Top 8th · off Ryan Zeferjahn
-6.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Josh Lowe+17.0%+2.7 RE24
Denzer Guzman+9.8%-0.2 RE24
Henry Bolte+5.9%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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