Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| SD | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | 7 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 7-1 at Petco Park on June 26, 2026, in a game that was largely settled by two decisive outbursts — one in the second inning and another in the eighth. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving San Diego a 44 percent chance of winning at home, and that figure climbed steadily toward its eventual 100 percent close as the Padres built an insurmountable lead against a Dodgers offense that repeatedly came up short in critical moments.
The turning point arrived in the bottom of the second inning, when Ty France launched a home run off Roki Sasaki, a swing that added 17.4 percent to San Diego's win probability and proved to be the single most impactful play of the night. The Padres added four more runs in the bottom of the eighth to close out any remaining doubt. On the other side, Los Angeles had a brief window in the top of the sixth when Freddie Freeman doubled off Yuki Matsui, a hit worth plus 10.9 percent in win probability from the Dodgers' perspective, but the inning unraveled immediately thereafter. Kyle Tucker followed with a flyout that swung the needle 10.7 percent back toward San Diego, and Max Muncy's pop out cost Los Angeles another 9.8 percent. Mookie Betts then grounded into a double play in the eighth, erasing another 10.6 percent from the Dodgers' dwindling chances.
France finished as the game's top performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a cumulative WPA of plus 18.8 percent alongside an RE24 of plus 3.0, while Freddie Freeman led Dodgers batters with a WPA of plus 14.3 percent despite Los Angeles managing only one run on seven hits. Manny Machado contributed meaningfully for San Diego with a WPA of plus 8.5 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.2. On the mound, Walker Buehler led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 16.0 percent, supported by Jack Dreyer at plus 9.0 percent and Adrian Morejon at plus 8.1 percent, as the Padres' staff held the Dodgers' lineup largely in check throughout the contest.