Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 on June 16, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 59% pre-game home win probability all the way to 100% by the final out. The Rays managed just three hits and never crossed the plate, while Los Angeles converted six hits into the game's only run in what was a tightly contested pitchers' duel through the first five frames.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the sixth inning when Shohei Ohtani launched a home run off Drew Rasmussen, a swing that added 13.8% to the Dodgers' win probability and stood as the largest single play of the game. Tampa Bay's best threats came and went without damage. Junior Caminero drew a walk off Will Klein in the top of the seventh to nudge the Rays' chances forward by 6.4%, but Ben Williamson grounded into a double play on the same at-bat sequence, costing Tampa Bay 9.2% in win probability and effectively ending their most meaningful rally of the night. Yandy Diaz's strikeout against Tanner Scott in the ninth, a 7.1% swing against the Rays, sealed the shutout.

On the individual ledger, Ohtani finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a WPA of plus-9.2% and a RE24 of plus-0.4, while Andy Pages added plus-4.4% WPA despite a lineout in the eighth that paradoxically represented the third-largest positive swing of the game given the leverage context. Freddie Freeman contributed plus-1.7% WPA and plus-0.3 RE24 in a supporting role. The pitching staff carried the night most forcefully, with Justin Wrobleski leading all players at plus-24.8% WPA, followed by Rasmussen at plus-23.4% despite surrendering the only run, and Scott closing it out with plus-15.2% WPA.