San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
The Story
The San Diego Padres defeated the Baltimore Orioles 5-2 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on June 14, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate tracked from a 48 percent pre-game home win probability all the way down to zero. Baltimore committed three errors and could not overcome a Padres offense that pushed across runs in three separate innings, including the decisive blow in the top of the seventh that effectively closed the door on any Orioles comeback.
The game's most consequential moment came when Rodolfo Durán launched a home run off Rico Garcia in the top of the seventh, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-22.0 percent in San Diego's favor and put the Padres ahead by a comfortable margin at that stage. Earlier, Baltimore had received a brief lift in the fifth when Jeremiah Jackson connected on a home run off Walker Buehler for a plus-12.4 percent swing, cutting into the deficit and momentarily reviving the Orioles' chances. However, the sixth inning proved to be a silent killer for Baltimore, as Colton Cowser's strikeout off Bradgley Rodriguez cost the home team 11.1 percent in win probability, and Jackson Holliday's strikeout in the same half-inning surrendered another 9.4 percent. Adley Rutschman then grounded into a double play in the seventh off Adrian Morejon, draining another 9.5 percent from Baltimore's dwindling chances.
Durán finished as the game's top performer by a significant margin, posting a plus-26.2 percent WPA and a plus-2.9 RE24, making him the clear catalyst of the Padres' win. Fernando Tatis Jr. added plus-8.0 percent WPA alongside a plus-1.1 RE24, while Blaze Alexander contributed plus-8.3 percent WPA. On the mound, Adrian Morejon led San Diego's pitching staff with plus-15.5 percent WPA, with Walker Buehler adding plus-14.6 percent despite surrendering the Jackson homer, and Trevor Rogers contributing plus-9.5 percent as the Padres' bullpen finished the job efficiently against a Baltimore lineup that stranded opportunities throughout the evening.