Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| CIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Cincinnati Reds 5-2 at Great American Ball Park on June 12, 2026, completing a comeback that was largely sealed by a three-run ninth inning. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 50-50 assessment of Cincinnati's chances at home, but by the final out that probability had fallen to zero. Arizona scored single runs in the third and sixth innings to stay within reach before breaking the game open in the ninth, finishing with seven hits against four for Cincinnati, each club committing one error.
The decisive sequence came in the top of the ninth inning against Brock Burke. A fielding error shifted win probability by 35.4 percentage points in Arizona's favor, representing the single largest swing of the night, and Jordan Lawlar followed with a single that added another 12.7 points to the Diamondbacks' advantage. Earlier, LuJames Groover's single off Nick Lodolo in the sixth inning had provided a 13.5-point swing that kept Arizona within striking distance. On the other side, Ketel Marte's strikeout against Zach Maxwell in the eighth was the game's costliest moment for Arizona, dropping their win probability by 15.2 points, while Noelvi Marte grounded into a double play off Taylor Clarke in the sixth at a cost of 10.2 points to Cincinnati's chances.
Among individual performers, Geraldo Perdomo led all batters with a cumulative WPA of plus-25.0 and an RE24 of plus-0.3, his presence in the ninth-inning rally proving central to the outcome. Gabriel Moreno contributed plus-16.1 WPA and a game-high plus-1.0 RE24, while Groover added plus-15.4 WPA and plus-0.9 RE24. Arizona's relief corps was equally effective, with Tejay Antone posting the best pitching WPA at plus-15.9, followed closely by Taylor Clarke at plus-15.3 and Kevin Ginkel at plus-10.9, a trio that held Cincinnati scoreless over the game's final innings to close out the victory.