Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Washington Nationals 5-1 at Chase Field on June 7, 2026, completing a dominant home performance that moved the DiamondIQ model's win probability from a pre-game estimate of 56 percent all the way to 100 percent by game's end. Arizona scattered its five runs across four innings against a Washington club that managed just three hits on the night, while the Nationals' lone run came early enough to feel illusory given what followed.

The decisive moment of the game arrived in the bottom of the fifth, when Gabriel Moreno connected on a home run off Cade Cavalli that shifted win probability by plus-19.6 percent in Arizona's favor, effectively closing the door on any Washington comeback. Moreno finished as the game's top offensive performer with a total WPA of plus-20.6 and an RE24 of plus-2.1. The fourth inning had offered some texture before that blow, as Pavin Smith's single off Cavalli added plus-5.8 percent to Arizona's win probability, though LuJames Groover's ground into a double play in the same frame swung minus-6.6 percent against the home side and briefly kept the game close. CJ Abrams had given Washington a momentary foothold with a home run off Michael Soroka in the top of the second, a plus-4.9 percent swing, but Luis Garcia Jr.'s pop out to end the third cost the Nationals minus-4.8 percent and underscored their inability to sustain any pressure.

Michael Soroka was the game's dominant force, posting a WPA of plus-24.3 percent and holding Washington to that lone run while the Arizona offense built its cushion behind him. Pavin Smith added a plus-7.0 WPA line and Nolan Arenado contributed plus-4.0, rounding out a balanced Arizona effort. Kevin Ginkel and Taylor Clarke handled the late innings cleanly, adding plus-1.9 and plus-0.7 WPA respectively to preserve what had long since become a comfortable victory.