Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 6-1 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 26, 2026, handing Tampa Bay a lopsided loss behind a dominant pitching performance and two decisive offensive bursts. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Baltimore only a 34% chance of winning at home, but that figure climbed steadily and finished at 100% as the Orioles pulled away with crooked numbers in the second and fifth innings.

Baltimore struck first in the bottom of the second, doing the bulk of its early damage against Griffin Jax. Blaze Alexander opened the inning with a single that shifted win probability 7.2 points in the Orioles' favor, and the frame continued to build from there as Jackson Holliday added a single worth 6.6 points and Jeremiah Jackson contributed another single worth 6.1 points. Gunnar Henderson's flyout also registered a 6.9-point swing in Baltimore's favor during that stretch, reflecting the mounting pressure the Orioles applied. The Rays gave back two errors on the night, finishing with a 1-9-2 line, and those miscues compounded the damage. Samuel Basallo then put the game firmly out of reach in the fifth inning with a home run off Trevor Martin that added 17.0 points of win probability in a single swing, the largest play of the game.

Individually, Basallo was Baltimore's most impactful performer, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-18.8 and a RE24 of plus-2.7. Holliday and Henderson each contributed substantially as well, posting WPA figures of plus-8.8 and plus-8.7, respectively. On the mound, Shane Baz was the clear standout, generating plus-27.4 points of win probability for Baltimore, with Garrett Cleavinger adding another plus-7.2 in relief. Tampa Bay's pitching staff, by contrast, could not contain the Orioles' lineup in either of the two decisive frames, and the Rays' offense managed only a single run across nine innings on nine hits.