MLB Recap · May 23, 2026

Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

CLE0
Final
PHI3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
CLE000000000030
PHI00020100-370

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies blanked the Cleveland Guardians 3-0 on May 23, 2026, at Citizens Bank Park, a result that moved the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Philadelphia win from 47% before first pitch to 100% at the final out. The game was scoreless through three innings before the Phillies broke through in the bottom of the fourth, where Bryson Stott delivered the decisive blow with a single off Slade Cecconi, swinging win probability by 18.5 percentage points and ultimately accounting for the largest single batting impact of the night at plus 22.4% WPA and plus 1.9 RE24 on the day. Cleveland's best threat came in that same inning when Chase DeLauter doubled off Zack Wheeler to move the needle 6.9 points in the Guardians' favor, but Kyle Manzardo's strikeout two batters later — a swing of negative 4.8% — effectively ended the rally and kept the deficit at two. Philadelphia added an insurance run in the sixth, with Adolis García drawing a walk off Matt Festa that contributed a 7.3-point probability shift, though J.T. Realmuto's strikeout in the same frame gave back 4.8 points and kept the margin at three.

Zack Wheeler was the dominant force on the night, finishing with a game-best plus 29.9% WPA from the mound while the Guardians managed only three hits against the Philadelphia staff as a whole. Bryce Harper contributed plus 5.7% WPA and 0.7 RE24 at the plate, and Alec Bohm added plus 2.8% WPA in support of Stott's headlining performance. Orion Kerkering and Brad Keller provided additional bullpen value at plus 5.0% and plus 4.5% WPA respectively, closing out a thoroughly controlled effort in which Cleveland never seriously threatened to score.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025CLE bats firstFinalPHI win %CLE win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 46.6% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Bryson Stott Single
Bot 4th · off Slade Cecconi
+18.5%
Bot 6th · off Matt Festa
+7.3%
Chase DeLauter Double
Top 4th · off Zack Wheeler
+6.9%
Kyle Manzardo Strikeout
Top 4th · off Zack Wheeler
-4.8%
J.T. Realmuto Strikeout
Bot 6th · off Matt Festa
-4.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Bryson Stott+22.4%+1.9 RE24
Bryce Harper+5.7%+0.7 RE24
Alec Bohm+2.8%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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