Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies defeated the Colorado Rockies 9-3 on May 9, 2026, at Citizens Bank Park, turning what the DiamondIQ model opened as a 59 percent home win probability into a near-certainty by the end of the third inning. Philadelphia's offense erupted for five runs in the bottom of the third against Kyle Freeland, a rally that effectively decided the outcome and pushed the DiamondIQ model's estimate toward 100 percent by the final out.

The decisive sequence came in that third inning, where Kyle Schwarber's home run off Freeland generated the game's single largest win-probability swing at plus-21.4 percent, followed closely by Alec Bohm's home run in the same frame at plus-11.0 percent. Bohm was not finished there, connecting for a second home run off Freeland in the fourth inning for an additional plus-8.0 percent swing. Colorado offered the only meaningful counterpunch when Kyle Karros doubled off Aaron Nola in the top of the fourth, a plus-11.7 percent play that briefly kept the Rockies within reach before Philadelphia answered with a run of its own that inning. The Phillies added two more in the eighth to complete the margin.

Schwarber finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-19.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.6, while Bohm posted the highest run-context impact at plus-3.1 RE24 to go alongside his plus-18.7 percent WPA. Karros was the lone Rockies offensive standout, producing plus-10.3 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.2 despite the loss. On the mound, Tanner Banks led Philadelphia's relief corps with plus-6.2 percent WPA, followed by Tim Mayza and Chase Shugart as the Phillies completed a clean defensive game without committing an error.