MLB Recap · May 6, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

PIT1
Final
AZ0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PIT100000000170
AZ000000000020

The Story

The Pittsburgh Pirates edged the Arizona Diamondbacks 1-0 on May 6, 2026, at Chase Field, with the lone run scoring in the first inning standing as the game's only difference. Pittsburgh held Arizona to just two hits across nine innings, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Arizona's win probability, which opened at 49% before first pitch, collapsed to 0% by the final out.

The decisive swing of the game came in the bottom of the ninth, where Gregory Soto navigated the most pivotal sequence of the night. Geraldo Perdomo drew a walk that added 9.0% in win probability for Arizona, briefly reviving hopes of a comeback. But Jose Fernandez's strikeout erased 8.5% of that, and Ketel Marte's flyout cost the Diamondbacks another 10.7%. The game ended on Corbin Carroll's groundout, a play that shifted win probability 27.0% in Pittsburgh's favor and closed the door entirely. Carroll finished as Arizona's top batter by WPA at plus 18.9%, though his negative RE24 of minus 0.6 reflected the limited run-environment impact of his plate appearances.

Paul Skenes was the story on the mound, posting a staggering plus 68.7% WPA as he dominated Arizona's lineup and limited the Diamondbacks to minimal threat throughout his time on the hill. Michael Soroka contributed an additional plus 19.4% WPA in relief, and Kevin Ginkel added plus 9.1% as Pittsburgh's pitching staff combined to allow just two hits in the shutout. The Pirates' seven hits against Arizona's pitching were more than enough to secure the victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PIT bats firstFinalAZ win %PIT win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 48.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Corbin Carroll Groundout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
+27.0%
Gabriel Moreno Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Paul Skenes
-12.9%
Ketel Marte Flyout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
-10.7%
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
+9.0%
Jose Fernandez Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Gregory Soto
-8.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Corbin Carroll+18.9%-0.6 RE24
Geraldo Perdomo+3.0%-0.3 RE24
Konnor Griffin+0.1%-0.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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