New York Mets at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The New York Mets handed the Colorado Rockies a 10-5 defeat at Coors Field on May 6, 2026, a result that left the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Colorado win falling from a 53 percent pre-game probability all the way to zero. The Mets struck first in the first inning and then broke the game open in the fourth, where Marcus Semien's double off Michael Lorenzen shifted win probability 9.6 percent in New York's favor, and Carson Benge followed with a single that added another 8.1 percent, extending the Mets' lead by three runs in what became the game's most consequential half-inning. Colorado mounted a brief response in the sixth, with Jake McCarthy's home run off Tobias Myers accounting for a 5.2 percent swing back toward the Rockies as part of a four-run frame that temporarily trimmed the deficit, but New York answered with four runs of its own in the same inning and two more in the ninth to close out the outcome convincingly.

Among the individual performances, Freddy Peralta was the single most impactful player in the game according to the DiamondIQ model, his pitching credited with a remarkable plus-25.4 percent cumulative win probability contribution. Two Colorado rally attempts died on his watch, as Ezequiel Tovar's groundout in the second inning cost the Rockies 7.2 percent in win probability and TJ Rumfield's forceout in the third cost them another 5.0 percent, each representing moments where Peralta stranded potential threats. Offensively, Semien led all batters with a plus-11.8 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-3.2, while Benge contributed plus-9.0 percent and Brett Baty added plus-6.4 percent. Brooks Raley and Devin Williams provided additional bullpen support, combining for plus-9.4 percent in win probability to help the Mets finish off a road victory in which New York collected 15 hits without committing an error.