Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

The Boston Red Sox handed the Detroit Tigers a 10-3 defeat at Comerica Park on May 5, 2026, overcoming a 61 percent pre-game home win probability that the DiamondIQ model had assigned to Detroit. Boston struck immediately in the first inning, plating three runs against Framber Valdez, and returned in the third to add five more, effectively turning a competitive game into a rout before the midway point. Detroit managed its only offense in scattered fashion, scoring two in the first and one in the fifth, but never threatened to reclaim control after Boston's third-inning surge. The Red Sox finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while Detroit's lone miscue contributed to a clean night on the mound and in the field for Boston.

Andruw Monasterio was the defining figure of the win-probability story. A first-inning lineout off Valdez shifted momentum by 8.4 percentage points in Boston's favor, and his third-inning single added another 8.2 points, giving him a game-high WPA of plus-16.5 percent. The third inning against Valdez was a collective dismantling, with Caleb Durbin and Ceddanne Rafaela each contributing singles worth 6.6 percentage points apiece, and Connor Wong adding a 6.2-point single of his own. Wong finished the night with a WPA of plus-7.4 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Rafaela posted the game's best RE24 among position players at plus-2.4.

Brayan Bello led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-12.0 percent, anchoring the Boston staff through the bulk of the game and ensuring Detroit's offense had no pathway back into contention. Jovani Morán contributed plus-1.9 percent and Brenan Hanifee added plus-0.3 percent in relief, completing a methodical effort on the mound. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of Detroit's win probability fell from 61 percent before first pitch to zero by the final out, a collapse that reflected just how thoroughly Boston controlled the game from the opening inning forward.