Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners erased a first-inning deficit and rallied past the Atlanta Braves 5-4 on May 4, 2026, at T-Mobile Park in a game defined almost entirely by a chaotic sixth inning. Atlanta drew first blood in the top of the first, and the game remained a 1-0 contest through five quiet innings before both offenses erupted simultaneously in the sixth. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Seattle just a 32 percent chance of winning at home, a figure that proved prescient through the early innings before the Mariners flipped the contest entirely.

The sixth inning was where the game was decided, and the win-probability swings within it were dramatic. Atlanta opened the frame with momentum, as Ozzie Albies connected on a home run off Logan Gilbert that added 12.1 percent to the Braves' win probability, and Matt Olson followed with another home run off Gilbert worth 9.6 percent, giving Atlanta a 4-0 lead. Seattle answered in the bottom half with a stunning five-run response. J.P. Crawford delivered the biggest single play of the game, a home run off Tyler Kinley that swung win probability by 28.7 percent, and Luke Raley followed with another home run off JR Ritchie worth 22.6 percent. The Mariners sent the DiamondIQ model's estimate from deep deficit to outright control, closing the game at 100 percent.

Crawford finished as the game's top offensive performer by WPA at plus-29.2 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.2, while Raley matched that RE24 figure and posted plus-22.7 percent WPA. Josh Naylor contributed plus-8.4 percent WPA on the night despite a costly groundout in the fifth inning that cost 10.5 percent. On the mound, Andrés Muñoz led Seattle's relief corps with plus-15.2 percent WPA, followed by José A. Ferrer at plus-13.7 percent and Eduard Bazardo at plus-5.6 percent, as the Seattle bullpen protected the one-run lead through the final three innings.